Stock Analysis

Porch Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:PRCH) Stock Catapults 37% Though Its Price And Business Still Lag The Industry

NasdaqCM:PRCH
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Porch Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:PRCH) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 37% after a shaky period beforehand. The last month tops off a massive increase of 110% in the last year.

Although its price has surged higher, Porch Group's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.3x might still make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the wider Software industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 4.5x and even P/S above 11x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

See our latest analysis for Porch Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:PRCH Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 20th 2024

How Has Porch Group Performed Recently?

Recent times have been advantageous for Porch Group as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think this strong revenue performance might be less impressive moving forward. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Keen to find out how analysts think Porch Group's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is Porch Group's Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as depressed as Porch Group's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry decidedly.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 44%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 298% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 2.6% during the coming year according to the six analysts following the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 20% growth, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

With this information, we can see why Porch Group is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

What Does Porch Group's P/S Mean For Investors?

Porch Group's recent share price jump still sees fails to bring its P/S alongside the industry median. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that Porch Group maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider industry, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 4 warning signs for Porch Group (2 don't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.