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Palantir (PLTR): Assessing Valuation After Strong Year-to-Date Share Price Gains

Reviewed by Kshitija Bhandaru
Palantir Technologies (PLTR) stock has seen steady gains recently. Over the past month, shares climbed nearly 5%, and investors are now weighing whether the company’s impressive growth rates can drive further momentum from this point.
See our latest analysis for Palantir Technologies.
Palantir Technologies’ share price has climbed more than 139% higher year-to-date. What really stands out is its staggering 323.6% total shareholder return over the past year, signaling powerful momentum and fresh optimism around the company’s growth narrative.
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With recent growth and strong returns capturing investor attention, the key question now is whether Palantir is still undervalued or if the market has already priced in its future prospects, leaving limited upside from this point.
Most Popular Narrative: 61% Overvalued
According to BlackGoat, the current trading price far exceeds their fair value estimate, driven by aggressive growth assumptions and strong operational momentum. This setup signals high future expectations and lays the groundwork for further debate about what justifies such a premium.
Palantir remains an exceptional company with groundbreaking technology and a clear mission. I have high conviction in its long-term potential and believe it could evolve into another Salesforce, Oracle, or SAP. However, even when factoring in flawless execution and strong future growth, the stock appears overvalued following recent price surges.
Want to know the growth blueprint behind this high premium? One key element of BlackGoat’s calculation leans on bold profit margin ambitions and future profit multiples usually reserved for global tech icons. Which stretches of revenue and margin growth are truly inside this number? Dive in to unlock what drives the sharp difference between fair value and market price now.
Result: Fair Value of $89 (OVERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.
However, even with Palantir’s momentum, unexpected slowdowns in growth or shifts in government spending could quickly test this bullish narrative.
Find out about the key risks to this Palantir Technologies narrative.
Build Your Own Palantir Technologies Narrative
If you see things differently or want to dig into the numbers yourself, you can craft your own Palantir Technologies story in just a few minutes, all your own. Do it your way.
A good starting point is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards investors are optimistic about regarding Palantir Technologies.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About NasdaqGS:PLTR
Palantir Technologies
Palantir Technologies Inc. builds and deploys software platforms for the intelligence community to assist in counterterrorism investigations and operations in the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally.
Exceptional growth potential with flawless balance sheet.
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