Stock Analysis

What Does InterDigital, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:IDCC) Share Price Indicate?

NasdaqGS:IDCC
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InterDigital, Inc. (NASDAQ:IDCC), might not be a large cap stock, but it received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the NASDAQGS over the last few months, increasing to US$96.85 at one point, and dropping to the lows of US$77.16. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether InterDigital's current trading price of US$77.32 reflective of the actual value of the mid-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at InterDigital’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

View our latest analysis for InterDigital

What Is InterDigital Worth?

According to my valuation model, InterDigital seems to be fairly priced at around 15.06% above my intrinsic value, which means if you buy InterDigital today, you’d be paying a relatively fair price for it. And if you believe the company’s true value is $67.20, there’s only an insignificant downside when the price falls to its real value. So, is there another chance to buy low in the future? Given that InterDigital’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us an opportunity to buy later on. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.

Can we expect growth from InterDigital?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NasdaqGS:IDCC Earnings and Revenue Growth October 24th 2023

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Though in the case of InterDigital, it is expected to deliver a highly negative earnings growth in the upcoming, which doesn’t help build up its investment thesis. It appears that risk of future uncertainty is high, at least in the near term.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? Currently, IDCC appears to be trading around its fair value, but given the uncertainty from negative returns in the future, this could be the right time to reduce the risk in your portfolio. Is your current exposure to the stock optimal for your total portfolio? And is the opportunity cost of holding a negative-outlook stock too high? Before you make a decision on the stock, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on IDCC for a while, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. The stock appears to be trading at fair value, which means there’s less benefit from mispricing. In addition to this, the negative growth outlook increases the risk of holding the stock. However, there are also other important factors we haven’t considered today, which can help crystalize your views on IDCC should the price fluctuate below its true value.

If you want to dive deeper into InterDigital, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for InterDigital you should be aware of.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.