Stock Analysis

We Think You Should Be Aware Of Some Concerning Factors In Helport AI's (NASDAQ:HPAI) Earnings

NasdaqCM:HPAI
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The market for Helport AI Limited's (NASDAQ:HPAI) stock was strong after it released a healthy earnings report last week. While the profit numbers were good, our analysis has found some concerning factors that shareholders should be aware of.

Check out our latest analysis for Helport AI

earnings-and-revenue-history
NasdaqCM:HPAI Earnings and Revenue History November 7th 2024

Examining Cashflow Against Helport AI's Earnings

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

For the year to June 2024, Helport AI had an accrual ratio of 0.93. As a general rule, that bodes poorly for future profitability. To wit, the company did not generate one whit of free cashflow in that time. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of US$2.4m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of US$7.37m. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of US$2.4m, this year, indicates high risk.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Helport AI.

Our Take On Helport AI's Profit Performance

As we have made quite clear, we're a bit worried that Helport AI didn't back up the last year's profit with free cashflow. For this reason, we think that Helport AI's statutory profits may be a bad guide to its underlying earnings power, and might give investors an overly positive impression of the company. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Helport AI at this point in time. To help with this, we've discovered 3 warning signs (2 shouldn't be ignored!) that you ought to be aware of before buying any shares in Helport AI.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Helport AI's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.