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Cognyte Software (NASDAQ:CGNT) Hasn't Managed To Accelerate Its Returns
There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. However, after investigating Cognyte Software (NASDAQ:CGNT), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on Cognyte Software is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.031 = US$11m ÷ (US$665m - US$320m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to January 2022).
Thus, Cognyte Software has an ROCE of 3.1%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Software industry average of 9.9%.
Check out our latest analysis for Cognyte Software
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Cognyte Software compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report for Cognyte Software.
So How Is Cognyte Software's ROCE Trending?
Over the past three years, Cognyte Software's ROCE has remained relatively flat while the business is using 36% less capital than before. To us that doesn't look like a multi-bagger because the company appears to be selling assets and it's returns aren't increasing. Not only that, but the low returns on this capital mentioned earlier would leave most investors unimpressed.
On another note, while the change in ROCE trend might not scream for attention, it's interesting that the current liabilities have actually gone up over the last three years. This is intriguing because if current liabilities hadn't increased to 48% of total assets, this reported ROCE would probably be less than3.1% because total capital employed would be higher.The 3.1% ROCE could be even lower if current liabilities weren't 48% of total assets, because the the formula would show a larger base of total capital employed. Additionally, this high level of current liabilities isn't ideal because it means the company's suppliers (or short-term creditors) are effectively funding a large portion of the business.
The Key Takeaway
Overall, we're not ecstatic to see Cognyte Software reducing the amount of capital it employs in the business. Moreover, since the stock has crumbled 71% over the last year, it appears investors are expecting the worst. In any case, the stock doesn't have these traits of a multi-bagger discussed above, so if that's what you're looking for, we think you'd have more luck elsewhere.
One more thing to note, we've identified 2 warning signs with Cognyte Software and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NasdaqGS:CGNT
Cognyte Software
Provides an investigative analytics software to governments and enterprises worldwide.
Flawless balance sheet and fair value.