Stock Analysis

Market Participants Recognise Confluent, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:CFLT) Revenues

NasdaqGS:CFLT
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With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 7.7x Confluent, Inc. (NASDAQ:CFLT) may be sending very bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all the Software companies in the United States have P/S ratios under 4.6x and even P/S lower than 1.9x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

See our latest analysis for Confluent

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:CFLT Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 7th 2024

How Confluent Has Been Performing

Recent times have been advantageous for Confluent as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. The P/S is probably high because investors think this strong revenue performance will continue. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Confluent.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Confluent?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Confluent would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 27% gain to the company's top line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 191% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 22% per annum as estimated by the analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 19% each year growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in mind, it's not hard to understand why Confluent's P/S is high relative to its industry peers. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

What We Can Learn From Confluent's P/S?

Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

As we suspected, our examination of Confluent's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook is contributing to its high P/S. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenues aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Having said that, be aware Confluent is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, you should know about.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.