Stock Analysis

Applied Digital (APLD) Expands AI Infrastructure With New CoreWeave Lease

Applied Digital (APLD) has recently made significant strides, including securing a new lease agreement with CoreWeave for an additional 150MW at their Polaris Forge 1 Campus and announcing the commencement of the Polaris Forge 2 development. These moves, to bolster AI infrastructure and anticipated revenue, optimize regional resources in North Dakota. Despite these expansions, the company's share price remained flat in the last quarter. This trajectory aligns with broader market movements, where indexes showed minimal fluctuations amid Fed rate-cut expectations and macroeconomic influences like the notable decline in Treasury yields and recent job market data.

You should learn about the 3 risks we've spotted with Applied Digital (including 1 which is a bit concerning).

APLD Earnings Per Share Growth as at Sep 2025
APLD Earnings Per Share Growth as at Sep 2025

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The recent developments at Applied Digital, such as securing an additional 150MW lease on their Polaris Forge 1 Campus and initiating Polaris Forge 2, are likely to have substantial implications on the company's narrative. These expansions align with the company’s long-term goals of bolstering AI infrastructure, potentially driving future revenue and earnings growth. The significant lease agreement with CoreWeave, a major AI hyperscaler, positions Applied Digital well in the booming AI sector, supporting a more predictable revenue stream. However, despite these promising moves, the company's share price remained flat last quarter, reflecting broader market trends and uncertainty over Federal Reserve rate cut expectations and macroeconomic factors.

Over a five-year period, Applied Digital's total return, including share price and dividends, has been significantly large at 23050.39%, showcasing strong long-term performance. In comparison, the company's one-year performance exceeded the US IT industry, which saw a return of 22.7%. This disparity underlines the strong potential seen by market participants in Applied Digital's business model and growth trajectory over recent years.

The lease agreement with CoreWeave could positively impact revenue and earnings forecasts, as analysts project considerable growth tied to long-term, high-value contracts with AI hyperscalers. The anticipated build-out of AI infrastructure and data center capacity offers potential for rapid scaling in a high-demand sector. Despite this, the current share price of US$13.89 shows a significant discount of about 26% to the consensus price target of US$19.38. This gap indicates potential market skepticism or caution regarding the aggressive growth and expansion strategies, along with associated risks.

Evaluate Applied Digital's prospects by accessing our earnings growth report.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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About NasdaqGS:APLD

Applied Digital

Designs, develops, and operates digital infrastructure solutions to high-performance computing (HPC) and artificial intelligence industries in North America.

High growth potential with adequate balance sheet.

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