Stock Analysis

Agora, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:API) Share Price Is Matching Sentiment Around Its Revenues

NasdaqGS:API
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You may think that with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.2x Agora, Inc. (NASDAQ:API) is definitely a stock worth checking out, seeing as almost half of all the Software companies in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 4.4x and even P/S above 10x aren't out of the ordinary. However, the P/S might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for Agora

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:API Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry June 14th 2023

How Has Agora Performed Recently?

Agora could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. It seems that many are expecting the poor revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the P/S ratio. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Agora.

How Is Agora's Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Agora's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 4.7% decrease to the company's top line. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 83% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the five analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 10% each year over the next three years. With the industry predicted to deliver 13% growth per annum, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

In light of this, it's understandable that Agora's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Bottom Line On Agora's P/S

While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

As expected, our analysis of Agora's analyst forecasts confirms that the company's underwhelming revenue outlook is a major contributor to its low P/S. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Agora that you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Agora, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.