Stock Analysis

Altair Engineering Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ALTR) Shares May Have Run Too Fast Too Soon

Published
NasdaqGS:ALTR

With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 12.8x Altair Engineering Inc. (NASDAQ:ALTR) may be sending very bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all the Software companies in the United States have P/S ratios under 4.8x and even P/S lower than 1.9x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

See our latest analysis for Altair Engineering

NasdaqGS:ALTR Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 13th 2024

How Altair Engineering Has Been Performing

Recent times haven't been great for Altair Engineering as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to undergo a reversal of fortunes, which has elevated the P/S ratio. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Altair Engineering will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Altair Engineering?

Altair Engineering's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 6.9% gain to the company's revenues. The latest three year period has also seen a 23% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 8.9% as estimated by the eleven analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 25%, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this in consideration, we believe it doesn't make sense that Altair Engineering's P/S is outpacing its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What Does Altair Engineering's P/S Mean For Investors?

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

It comes as a surprise to see Altair Engineering trade at such a high P/S given the revenue forecasts look less than stellar. The weakness in the company's revenue estimate doesn't bode well for the elevated P/S, which could take a fall if the revenue sentiment doesn't improve. At these price levels, investors should remain cautious, particularly if things don't improve.

Having said that, be aware Altair Engineering is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, you should know about.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.