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Airship AI Holdings (AISP): A Fresh Look at Valuation After Landmark Federal Contracts Boost Sector Position

Reviewed by Kshitija Bhandaru
Airship AI Holdings (AISP) is in focus after landing 16 new contracts from the Department of Justice and Department of Homeland Security. These $11 million deals represent federal agencies adopting its Outpost AI platform.
See our latest analysis for Airship AI Holdings.
The sudden wave of new federal contracts seems to have energized Airship AI’s share price, with a 41.3% jump in the past 30 days and a remarkable 192.8% total shareholder return over the last year. That recent momentum marks a striking turnaround from earlier multi-year declines, hinting at renewed optimism as major agencies adopt the company’s technology.
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But with shares already up nearly 200% in the past year and a sizable earnings turnaround underway, investors may wonder if Airship AI stock is still undervalued given its future growth story, or if the market has already priced in the gains ahead.
Price-to-Sales of 14.2x: Is it justified?
Airship AI trades at a price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 14.2x, which stands well above both its direct peers and the broader US software sector. At the last close of $6.09, this valuation suggests the market expects striking growth or business transformation compared to more mature software companies.
The price-to-sales multiple measures how much investors are willing to pay for each dollar of revenue generated. In rapidly expanding tech firms, a higher multiple can sometimes be justified if the company is positioned for outsized top-line growth in the near future or commands a unique competitive advantage.
But when asked if this premium is warranted, the data shows Airship AI’s P/S ratio is nearly three times the industry average of 5.3x, and exceeds the peer group average of 6x. By comparison, a fair P/S ratio for the company based on regression analysis is estimated at 24.8x, which is substantially higher than the current market level. This could potentially signal further upside should business performance deliver on forecasted expectations.
Explore the SWS fair ratio for Airship AI Holdings
Result: Price-to-Sales of 14.2x (ABOUT RIGHT)
However, heavy reliance on federal contracts and ongoing net losses remain key risks. These factors could challenge Airship AI’s current investor optimism.
Find out about the key risks to this Airship AI Holdings narrative.
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A great starting point for your Airship AI Holdings research is our analysis highlighting 1 key reward and 4 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About NasdaqGM:AISP
Airship AI Holdings
Provides artificial intelligence (AI)-driven data management surveillance platforms in the United States.
High growth potential with slight risk.
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