Stock Analysis

What Does ACI Worldwide, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ACIW) Share Price Indicate?

NasdaqGS:ACIW
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ACI Worldwide, Inc. (NASDAQ:ACIW), is not the largest company out there, but it saw significant share price movement during recent months on the NASDAQGS, rising to highs of US$24.74 and falling to the lows of US$20.00. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether ACI Worldwide's current trading price of US$20.22 reflective of the actual value of the mid-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at ACI Worldwide’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

See our latest analysis for ACI Worldwide

What Is ACI Worldwide Worth?

Good news, investors! ACI Worldwide is still a bargain right now. According to my valuation, the intrinsic value for the stock is $33.22, which is above what the market is valuing the company at the moment. This indicates a potential opportunity to buy low. Although, there may be another chance to buy again in the future. This is because ACI Worldwide’s beta (a measure of share price volatility) is high, meaning its price movements will be exaggerated relative to the rest of the market. If the market is bearish, the company's shares will likely fall by more than the rest of the market, providing a prime buying opportunity.

What does the future of ACI Worldwide look like?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NasdaqGS:ACIW Earnings and Revenue Growth December 16th 2022

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Though in the case of ACI Worldwide, it is expected to deliver a negative earnings growth of -3.9%, which doesn’t help build up its investment thesis. It appears that risk of future uncertainty is high, at least in the near term.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? Although ACIW is currently undervalued, the adverse prospect of negative growth brings about some degree of risk. I recommend you think about whether you want to increase your portfolio exposure to ACIW, or whether diversifying into another stock may be a better move for your total risk and return.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on ACIW for a while, but hesitant on making the leap, I recommend you research further into the stock. Given its current undervaluation, now is a great time to make a decision. But keep in mind the risks that come with negative growth prospects in the future.

In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. In terms of investment risks, we've identified 2 warning signs with ACI Worldwide, and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.