Those holding Impinj, Inc. (NASDAQ:PI) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 35% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 39% in the last twelve months.
Following the firm bounce in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Impinj is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 7.9x, considering almost half the companies in the United States' Semiconductor industry have P/S ratios below 3.3x. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Our free stock report includes 2 warning signs investors should be aware of before investing in Impinj. Read for free now.View our latest analysis for Impinj
How Impinj Has Been Performing
Recent times haven't been great for Impinj as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. It might be that many expect the uninspiring revenue performance to recover significantly, which has kept the P/S ratio from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Keen to find out how analysts think Impinj's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Impinj?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Impinj's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 22% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 83% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the eight analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 16% per year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 23% per year, which is noticeably more attractive.
In light of this, it's alarming that Impinj's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
What We Can Learn From Impinj's P/S?
Impinj's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've concluded that Impinj currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its forecast growth is lower than the wider industry. The weakness in the company's revenue estimate doesn't bode well for the elevated P/S, which could take a fall if the revenue sentiment doesn't improve. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
Having said that, be aware Impinj is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, you should know about.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Impinj might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.