Stock Analysis

Lattice Semiconductor Corporation (NASDAQ:LSCC) Stock Rockets 25% As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

NasdaqGS:LSCC
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The Lattice Semiconductor Corporation (NASDAQ:LSCC) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 25%. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 12% over that time.

After such a large jump in price, Lattice Semiconductor's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 40.7x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 16x and even P/E's below 9x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

Recent times have been pleasing for Lattice Semiconductor as its earnings have risen in spite of the market's earnings going into reverse. It seems that many are expecting the company to continue defying the broader market adversity, which has increased investors’ willingness to pay up for the stock. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for Lattice Semiconductor

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:LSCC Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 1st 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Lattice Semiconductor will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Lattice Semiconductor's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 45%. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 437% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 0.3% per annum during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. With the market predicted to deliver 11% growth per annum, the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.

In light of this, it's alarming that Lattice Semiconductor's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From Lattice Semiconductor's P/E?

Shares in Lattice Semiconductor have built up some good momentum lately, which has really inflated its P/E. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Lattice Semiconductor currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 2 warning signs for Lattice Semiconductor (1 can't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Lattice Semiconductor is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.