Stock Analysis

Is GlobalFoundries Inc. (NASDAQ:GFS) Potentially Undervalued?

NasdaqGS:GFS
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Today we're going to take a look at the well-established GlobalFoundries Inc. (NASDAQ:GFS). The company's stock led the NASDAQGS gainers with a relatively large price hike in the past couple of weeks. While good news for shareholders, the company has traded much higher in the past year. As a large-cap stock with high coverage by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company’s outlook is already priced into the stock. But what if there is still an opportunity to buy? Today we will analyse the most recent data on GlobalFoundries’s outlook and valuation to see if the opportunity still exists.

View our latest analysis for GlobalFoundries

What Is GlobalFoundries Worth?

According to our valuation model, GlobalFoundries seems to be fairly priced at around 4.80% above our intrinsic value, which means if you buy GlobalFoundries today, you’d be paying a relatively reasonable price for it. And if you believe that the stock is really worth $41.87, there’s only an insignificant downside when the price falls to its real value. Is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Since GlobalFoundries’s share price is quite volatile, we could potentially see it sink lower (or rise higher) in the future, giving us another chance to buy. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.

Can we expect growth from GlobalFoundries?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NasdaqGS:GFS Earnings and Revenue Growth December 16th 2024

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. GlobalFoundries' earnings over the next few years are expected to increase by 84%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? GFS’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the financial strength of the company. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuates below the true value?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on GFS, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for the company, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing GlobalFoundries at this point in time. You'd be interested to know, that we found 1 warning sign for GlobalFoundries and you'll want to know about this.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.