Subdued Growth No Barrier To LightInTheBox Holding Co., Ltd. (NYSE:LITB) With Shares Advancing 38%
Despite an already strong run, LightInTheBox Holding Co., Ltd. (NYSE:LITB) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 38% in the last thirty days. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 35% in the last twelve months.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, it's still not a stretch to say that LightInTheBox Holding's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.1x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Specialty Retail industry in the United States, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.4x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
Check out our latest analysis for LightInTheBox Holding
What Does LightInTheBox Holding's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
For instance, LightInTheBox Holding's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think the company might still do enough to be in line with the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on LightInTheBox Holding's earnings, revenue and cash flow.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?
LightInTheBox Holding's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 58%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 46% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 6.1% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.
With this information, we find it concerning that LightInTheBox Holding is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.
The Bottom Line On LightInTheBox Holding's P/S
LightInTheBox Holding's stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We find it unexpected that LightInTheBox Holding trades at a P/S ratio that is comparable to the rest of the industry, despite experiencing declining revenues during the medium-term, while the industry as a whole is expected to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards in the context of growing industry forecasts, it'd make sense to expect a possible share price decline on the horizon, sending the moderate P/S lower. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 5 warning signs for LightInTheBox Holding (1 can't be ignored!) that you should be aware of.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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