See our latest analysis for Gap.
Gap's share price has edged down over the past month, lately trading at $21.51, as recent gains have given way to some cooling off. Still, demand for the stock has held up overall, with a 1-year total shareholder return of 7.5% and a longer-term record that hints at persistent, albeit modest, growth. As investors consider whether momentum is building or fading, the broader valuation landscape remains top of mind.
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With shares trading below analyst price targets and recent results suggesting steady, if modest, growth, the big question is whether Gap is undervalued at current levels or if the market is already factoring in any upside potential.
Most Popular Narrative: 11.8% Undervalued
Gap’s most followed narrative says the stock’s fair value stands at $24.38 per share, well above the last close of $21.51 and signaling an attractive gap. The narrative’s fair value is shaped by expectations for revenue and profit margin gains over coming years, reflecting tough industry headwinds and brand-driven optimism.
Ongoing investments in digital technology, supply chain optimization, and omni-channel retail (e.g., tech-driven inventory management, AI in demand planning, modernized media mix) enable Gap to better serve consumers' expectation for seamless integration across digital and physical. This drives efficiency gains and supports margin expansion over the long term.
Curious about which bold earnings and sales targets stand behind this valuation? Discover the future profit margin and revenue leaps fueling analyst conviction. Find out what sets Gap’s trajectory apart from rivals and how digital bets factor in.
Result: Fair Value of $24.38 (UNDERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.
However, challenges such as ongoing tariff pressures and underperformance at key brands like Athleta could threaten Gap’s earnings outlook and investor confidence.
Find out about the key risks to this Gap narrative.
Build Your Own Gap Narrative
If you are looking for a different take or want to dig into the numbers firsthand, you can shape your own perspective. Start now and Do it your way.
A great starting point for your Gap research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Gap might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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