Shareholders Would Enjoy A Repeat Of Dillard's' (NYSE:DDS) Recent Growth In Returns
If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for? Firstly, we'd want to identify a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and then alongside that, an ever-increasing base of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. So when we looked at the ROCE trend of Dillard's (NYSE:DDS) we really liked what we saw.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. The formula for this calculation on Dillard's is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.41 = US$1.1b ÷ (US$3.7b - US$1.2b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to April 2023).
Therefore, Dillard's has an ROCE of 41%. In absolute terms that's a great return and it's even better than the Multiline Retail industry average of 9.5%.
View our latest analysis for Dillard's
In the above chart we have measured Dillard's' prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.
SWOT Analysis for Dillard's
- Debt is not viewed as a risk.
- Earnings declined over the past year.
- Dividend is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the Multiline Retail market.
- Trading below our estimate of fair value by more than 20%.
- Annual earnings are forecast to decline for the next 3 years.
So How Is Dillard's' ROCE Trending?
Dillard's is showing promise given that its ROCE is trending up and to the right. Looking at the data, we can see that even though capital employed in the business has remained relatively flat, the ROCE generated has risen by 283% over the last five years. Basically the business is generating higher returns from the same amount of capital and that is proof that there are improvements in the company's efficiencies. It's worth looking deeper into this though because while it's great that the business is more efficient, it might also mean that going forward the areas to invest internally for the organic growth are lacking.
In Conclusion...
As discussed above, Dillard's appears to be getting more proficient at generating returns since capital employed has remained flat but earnings (before interest and tax) are up. And with the stock having performed exceptionally well over the last five years, these patterns are being accounted for by investors. Therefore, we think it would be worth your time to check if these trends are going to continue.
Like most companies, Dillard's does come with some risks, and we've found 1 warning sign that you should be aware of.
If you'd like to see other companies earning high returns, check out our free list of companies earning high returns with solid balance sheets here.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:DDS
Dillard's
Operates retail department stores in the southeastern, southwestern, and midwestern areas of the United States.
Flawless balance sheet 6 star dividend payer.