Stock Analysis

We Think Boot Barn Holdings (NYSE:BOOT) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

NYSE:BOOT
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Boot Barn Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:BOOT) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Boot Barn Holdings

What Is Boot Barn Holdings's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Boot Barn Holdings had US$26.2m of debt in July 2023, down from US$74.9m, one year before. However, it does have US$17.1m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$9.12m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:BOOT Debt to Equity History September 25th 2023

How Healthy Is Boot Barn Holdings' Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Boot Barn Holdings had liabilities of US$313.1m due within a year, and liabilities of US$379.7m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$17.1m and US$11.8m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$663.9m.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Boot Barn Holdings has a market capitalization of US$2.42b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. But either way, Boot Barn Holdings has virtually no net debt, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Boot Barn Holdings has very little debt (net of cash), and boasts a debt to EBITDA ratio of 0.035 and EBIT of 36.5 times the interest expense. Indeed relative to its earnings its debt load seems light as a feather. On the other hand, Boot Barn Holdings's EBIT dived 12%, over the last year. We think hat kind of performance, if repeated frequently, could well lead to difficulties for the stock. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Boot Barn Holdings can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, Boot Barn Holdings recorded free cash flow of 23% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Our View

Boot Barn Holdings's interest cover was a real positive on this analysis, as was its net debt to EBITDA. But truth be told its EBIT growth rate had us nibbling our nails. Looking at all this data makes us feel a little cautious about Boot Barn Holdings's debt levels. While debt does have its upside in higher potential returns, we think shareholders should definitely consider how debt levels might make the stock more risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 1 warning sign with Boot Barn Holdings , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.