Winmark Corporation

NasdaqGM:WINA Stock Report

Market Cap: US$1.6b

Winmark Valuation

Is WINA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of WINA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

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Below Future Cash Flow Value: WINA ($452.68) is trading above our estimate of future cash flow value ($309.86)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: WINA is trading above our estimate of future cash flow value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for WINA?

Key metric: As WINA is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for WINA. This is calculated by dividing WINA's market cap by their current earnings.
What is WINA's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio39.1x
EarningsUS$41.28m
Market CapUS$1.61b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does WINA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for WINA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average11.2x
SBH Sally Beauty Holdings
8x5.59%US$1.6b
UPBD Upbound Group
14.1x34.48%US$1.2b
BBW Build-A-Bear Workshop
12.2x1.54%US$703.4m
ASO Academy Sports and Outdoors
10.5x6.55%US$3.9b
WINA Winmark
39.1x7.93%US$1.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: WINA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (39.1x) compared to the peer average (11.2x).

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does WINA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Specialty Retail Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
LUXE LuxExperience B.V
1.7x-101.29%US$1.02b
TLF Tandy Leather Factory
2.5xn/aUS$25.65m
TKLF Tokyo Lifestyle
3xn/aUS$13.16m
SSOK Sunstock
0.09xn/aUS$69.18k
WINA 39.1xIndustry Avg. 21.5xNo. of Companies9PE01224364860+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: WINA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (39.1x) compared to the US Specialty Retail industry average (21.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is WINA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

WINA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio39.1x
Fair PE Ratio13x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: WINA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (39.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

US$545
Fair Value
16.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
1
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/02/09 05:33
End of Day Share Price 2026/02/06 00:00
Earnings2025/09/27
Annual Earnings2024/12/28

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Winmark Corporation is covered by 1 analysts. 1 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Thomas ForteMaxim Group