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A Fresh Look at LKQ (LKQ) Valuation Following Recent Share Price Movement

Reviewed by Kshitija Bhandaru
LKQ (LKQ) has been in the spotlight recently, drawing attention for its latest market moves. Investors are weighing how the company’s recent performance and ongoing strategy could influence its long-term value in the current environment.
See our latest analysis for LKQ.
LKQ’s share price has been under some pressure lately, with a notable 2.33% gain in the last day not yet offsetting its recent slide. The 1-year total shareholder return stands at -21.06%, and the 3-year figure is also in negative territory. This recent dip reflects caution among investors, but it also brings the valuation closer to historically attractive levels. Momentum has faded, but there could be potential for a turnaround if business fundamentals improve.
If LKQ’s shifts have you rethinking your watchlist, this is an ideal time to broaden your scope and discover fast growing stocks with high insider ownership
With shares trading at a significant discount to analyst price targets and fundamentals showing modest growth, is LKQ being overlooked in the market, or is the stock simply reflecting realistic expectations for future performance?
Most Popular Narrative: 43.5% Undervalued
LKQ’s most closely followed narrative points to a sizeable undervaluation, with fair value set well above the current trading price. To understand the gap, let’s look at what’s driving the narrative behind this bullish outlook.
*Growth in miles driven increases the wear and tear on vehicles, requiring more maintenance and repair work to keep them on the road, benefiting LKQ. LKQ’s collision business could see rising demand from increasing auto claims as more drivers return to the road following the COVID-19 pandemic.*
What is fueling this optimistic narrative? The valuation leans on assumptions about expansion in key business lines and underlying shifts in automotive trends. Is the secret sauce hidden in projected profit margins, or does long-term growth play a bigger part? This is your chance to uncover which financial forecasts justify such a large gap to fair value.
Result: Fair Value of $52.8 (UNDERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.
However, rising adoption of advanced driving technologies and ongoing supply chain challenges could dampen LKQ’s recovery story if these factors are not managed carefully.
Find out about the key risks to this LKQ narrative.
Build Your Own LKQ Narrative
If you see the story differently or want a deeper dive into the numbers behind LKQ, you can create your own narrative in just minutes. Do it your way
A great starting point for your LKQ research is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About NasdaqGS:LKQ
LKQ
Engages in the distribution of replacement parts, components, and systems used in the repair and maintenance of vehicles and specialty vehicle aftermarket products and accessories.
Very undervalued with mediocre balance sheet.
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