Stock Analysis

Would Hour Loop (NASDAQ:HOUR) Be Better Off With Less Debt?

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Hour Loop, Inc. (NASDAQ:HOUR) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Advertisement

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for Hour Loop

How Much Debt Does Hour Loop Carry?

As you can see below, Hour Loop had US$4.82m of debt, at December 2023, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it also had US$2.48m in cash, and so its net debt is US$2.34m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqCM:HOUR Debt to Equity History April 8th 2024

How Strong Is Hour Loop's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Hour Loop had liabilities of US$10.9m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$4.17m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$2.48m as well as receivables valued at US$747.7k due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$11.9m.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Hour Loop has a market capitalization of US$34.0m, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Hour Loop will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Over 12 months, Hour Loop reported revenue of US$132m, which is a gain of 38%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. With any luck the company will be able to grow its way to profitability.

Caveat Emptor

Even though Hour Loop managed to grow its top line quite deftly, the cold hard truth is that it is losing money on the EBIT line. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at US$3.0m. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. However, it doesn't help that it burned through US$2.1m of cash over the last year. So in short it's a really risky stock. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for Hour Loop (2 are significant) you should be aware of.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Hour Loop might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

Access Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NasdaqCM:HOUR

Hour Loop

An online retailer, engages in e-commerce retailing business in the United States.

Excellent balance sheet with low risk.

Similar Companies

Advertisement

Weekly Picks

WE
WealthAP
PYPL logo
WealthAP on PayPal Holdings ·

The "Sleeping Giant" Stumbles, Then Wakes Up

Fair Value:US$8229.7% undervalued
60 users have followed this narrative
4 users have commented on this narrative
31 users have liked this narrative
WO
BMBL logo
woodworthfund on Bumble ·

Swiped Left by Wall Street: The BMBL Rebound Trade

Fair Value:US$961.3% undervalued
19 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
6 users have liked this narrative
WE
WealthAP
DUOL logo
WealthAP on Duolingo ·

Duolingo (DUOL): Why A 20% Drop Might Be The Entry Point We've Been Waiting For

Fair Value:US$268.6434.2% undervalued
32 users have followed this narrative
5 users have commented on this narrative
8 users have liked this narrative

Updated Narratives

AN
andre_santos
EGL logo
andre_santos on Mota-Engil SGPS ·

Mota-Engil's Intrinsic and Historical Valuation

Fair Value:€4.77.8% overvalued
2 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
AN
andre_santos
RACE logo
andre_santos on Ferrari ·

Ferrari's Intrinsic and Historical Valuation

Fair Value:€243.5633.7% overvalued
2 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
AN
andre_santos
SAP logo
andre_santos on SAP ·

SAP's Intrinsic and Historical Valuation

Fair Value:€162.7330.5% overvalued
2 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative

Popular Narratives

AG
Agricola
EXN logo
Agricola on Excellon Resources ·

A case for CA$31.80 (undiluted), aka 8,616% upside from CA$0.37 (an 86 bagger!).

Fair Value:CA$31.898.3% undervalued
71 users have followed this narrative
13 users have commented on this narrative
23 users have liked this narrative
WE
WealthAP
PYPL logo
WealthAP on PayPal Holdings ·

The "Sleeping Giant" Stumbles, Then Wakes Up

Fair Value:US$8229.7% undervalued
60 users have followed this narrative
4 users have commented on this narrative
31 users have liked this narrative
AL
RKLB logo
AlexLovell on Rocket Lab ·

Early mover in a fast growing industry. Likely to experience share price volatility as they scale

Fair Value:US$16.25422.2% overvalued
72 users have followed this narrative
1 users have commented on this narrative
18 users have liked this narrative