Stock Analysis

Should Weakness in Essential Properties Realty Trust, Inc.'s (NYSE:EPRT) Stock Be Seen As A Sign That Market Will Correct The Share Price Given Decent Financials?

NYSE:EPRT
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With its stock down 5.8% over the past week, it is easy to disregard Essential Properties Realty Trust (NYSE:EPRT). However, the company's fundamentals look pretty decent, and long-term financials are usually aligned with future market price movements. In this article, we decided to focus on Essential Properties Realty Trust's ROE.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

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How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for return on equity is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Essential Properties Realty Trust is:

5.7% = US$204m ÷ US$3.6b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2024).

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. One way to conceptualize this is that for each $1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made $0.06 in profit.

See our latest analysis for Essential Properties Realty Trust

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

Essential Properties Realty Trust's Earnings Growth And 5.7% ROE

When you first look at it, Essential Properties Realty Trust's ROE doesn't look that attractive. Yet, a closer study shows that the company's ROE is similar to the industry average of 5.4%. Particularly, the exceptional 33% net income growth seen by Essential Properties Realty Trust over the past five years is pretty remarkable. Taking into consideration that the ROE is not particularly high, we reckon that there could also be other factors at play which could be influencing the company's growth. For example, it is possible that the company's management has made some good strategic decisions, or that the company has a low payout ratio.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Essential Properties Realty Trust's growth is quite high when compared to the industry average growth of 21% in the same period, which is great to see.

past-earnings-growth
NYSE:EPRT Past Earnings Growth April 7th 2025

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Essential Properties Realty Trust is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E , relative to its industry.

Is Essential Properties Realty Trust Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

Essential Properties Realty Trust seems to be paying out most of its income as dividends judging by its three-year median payout ratio of 65%, meaning the company retains only 35% of its income. However, this is typical for REITs as they are often required by law to distribute most of their earnings. Despite this, the company's earnings have grown significantly as we saw above.

Moreover, Essential Properties Realty Trust is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of seven years of paying a dividend. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company is expected to rise to 97% over the next three years. However, Essential Properties Realty Trust's future ROE is expected to rise to 7.6% despite the expected increase in the company's payout ratio. We infer that there could be other factors that could be driving the anticipated growth in the company's ROE.

Conclusion

In total, it does look like Essential Properties Realty Trust has some positive aspects to its business. Namely, its high earnings growth. We do however feel that the earnings growth number could have been even higher, had the company been reinvesting more of its earnings and paid out less dividends. That being so, a study of the latest analyst forecasts show that the company is expected to see a slowdown in its future earnings growth. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.