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Exagen Inc.NasdaqGM:XGN Stock Report

Market Cap US$83.8m
Share Price
US$3.47
US$8.67
60.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
1Y-39.5%
7D18.0%
Portfolio Value
View

Exagen Inc.

NasdaqGM:XGN Stock Report

Market Cap: US$83.8m

XGN Community Fair Values

Create Narrative

See what 6 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

Exagen Inc. Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Exagen
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUS$3.47
52 Week HighUS$12.23
52 Week LowUS$2.59
Beta1.81
1 Month Change14.14%
3 Month Change5.79%
1 Year Change-39.55%
3 Year Change10.16%
5 Year Change-73.29%
Change since IPO-81.32%

Recent News & Updates

Analysis Article 19m

Exagen Inc. (NASDAQ:XGN) Just Released Its First-Quarter Results And Analysts Are Updating Their Estimates

Exagen Inc. ( NASDAQ:XGN ) just released its first-quarter report and things are looking bullish. Revenues and losses...
Narrative Update Apr 24

XGN: Volume Strength And 2026 Guidance Should Support Future Share Gains

Narrative Update on Exagen Analysts have trimmed the average price target on Exagen by about $0.83 to reflect updated assumptions for slower revenue growth, softer profit margins, and more modest ASP and gross margin expansion in their models. Analyst Commentary Recent research shows analysts aligning around a more conservative view on Exagen, with several price targets reset to a tighter range as models are updated for softer pricing and margin assumptions.
Narrative Update Apr 10

XGN: Shares Should Rise As Volumes Offset Transitory Pricing Headwinds

Analysts have reduced their average 12 month price target on Exagen by a few dollars to around $9.50, citing lower than expected average selling prices as well as more conservative revenue and margin assumptions across recent research updates. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates point to a more cautious stance on Exagen, with several firms trimming their price targets while maintaining generally positive ratings on the shares.

Recent updates

Analysis Article 19m

Exagen Inc. (NASDAQ:XGN) Just Released Its First-Quarter Results And Analysts Are Updating Their Estimates

Exagen Inc. ( NASDAQ:XGN ) just released its first-quarter report and things are looking bullish. Revenues and losses...
Narrative Update Apr 24

XGN: Volume Strength And 2026 Guidance Should Support Future Share Gains

Narrative Update on Exagen Analysts have trimmed the average price target on Exagen by about $0.83 to reflect updated assumptions for slower revenue growth, softer profit margins, and more modest ASP and gross margin expansion in their models. Analyst Commentary Recent research shows analysts aligning around a more conservative view on Exagen, with several price targets reset to a tighter range as models are updated for softer pricing and margin assumptions.
Narrative Update Apr 10

XGN: Shares Should Rise As Volumes Offset Transitory Pricing Headwinds

Analysts have reduced their average 12 month price target on Exagen by a few dollars to around $9.50, citing lower than expected average selling prices as well as more conservative revenue and margin assumptions across recent research updates. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates point to a more cautious stance on Exagen, with several firms trimming their price targets while maintaining generally positive ratings on the shares.
Narrative Update Mar 26

XGN: Shares Should Rise As Volumes Support Long Term Margin Recovery

Analysts have reset expectations on Exagen, with several firms trimming their price targets to around $9 to $10. They cite lower than anticipated average selling prices, tempered revenue growth assumptions, and more gradual gross margin expansion in their updated models.
Narrative Update Mar 12

XGN: Shares Should Rise As Solid Volumes Offset Near Term Pricing Headwinds

The analyst price target for Exagen has been revised from a fair value of $13.29 to $9.50. Analysts have updated their models to account for lower near-term average selling prices, more conservative revenue growth assumptions, and more modest margin expectations, although overall volume trends remain generally stable.
Narrative Update Feb 11

XGN: Shares Will Rise As 2025 Revenue Guidance Supports Bullish Outlook

Narrative Update on Exagen The updated analyst price target for Exagen has moved lower to about $13.29 from $14.71. This reflects analysts' recent cuts to formal targets in the diagnostics group and slightly more conservative assumptions on fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E.
Narrative Update Jan 27

XGN: Shares Will Rise As 2025 Guidance And Sector Fundamentals Strengthen Outlook

Analysts trimmed their price target on Exagen to $13 from $18, citing updated sector views from recent Q4 previews, even as they continue to expect solid diagnostics group fundamentals and 2026 outlooks. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts view the updated US$13 price target as still supported by what they describe as solid fundamentals across the diagnostics group, which they see as relevant for Exagen's valuation framework.
Analysis Article Jan 14

Investors Don't See Light At End Of Exagen Inc.'s (NASDAQ:XGN) Tunnel And Push Stock Down 28%

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Exagen Inc. ( NASDAQ:XGN ) share price has dived 28% in the last thirty days...
Narrative Update Jan 12

XGN: Shares Will Rise As 2025 Guidance Supports Profitability Milestone

The updated analyst price target for Exagen reflects a move to roughly $14.71 from about $15.43, as analysts weigh mixed signals from recent target changes and sector commentary around solid diagnostics fundamentals, alongside ongoing headwinds in life science tools. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Exagen points to a mixed but constructive view, with price targets adjusted both higher and lower as analysts rework their models around upcoming earnings and sector trends.
Narrative Update Dec 21

XGN: Shares Will Rise As Resilient Demand Supports 2025 Profitability Prospects

Analysts raised their price target on Exagen to $15.00 from $11.00, citing updated models ahead of Q3 results that account for resilient fundamentals despite ongoing headwinds in life science tools, including tariffs, funding uncertainty, and China related pressures. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts view the higher price target as a reflection of Exagen's ability to execute against a difficult macro backdrop and to sustain growth despite sector wide pressures.
Analysis Article Dec 18

Is Exagen (NASDAQ:XGN) Using Debt Sensibly?

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...
Narrative Update Dec 07

XGN: Shares Will Rise As Autoimmune Test Adoption Drives 50% Upside Potential

Analysts have lifted their price target on Exagen to $15 from $11, citing a refreshed model that reflects confidence in the company’s autoimmune diagnostics platform and its flagship AVISE CTD test, despite ongoing macro headwinds in the life science tools sector. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts point to Exagen’s specialized focus on autoimmune diagnostics and its AVISE CTD test as key drivers of potential upside, supporting the higher price target and Buy rating in spite of sector-wide pressures.
Narrative Update Nov 22

XGN: Shares Will Gain As Buy Ratings Signal 50% Upside Potential

Analysts have raised their price target for Exagen from $14.00 to $15.43. They cite improved revenue growth estimates and ongoing optimism for the company's diagnostic test portfolio, despite sector headwinds.
Analysis Article Nov 18

The Market Doesn't Like What It Sees From Exagen Inc.'s (NASDAQ:XGN) Revenues Yet As Shares Tumble 27%

Exagen Inc. ( NASDAQ:XGN ) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month...
Analysis Article Nov 07

Earnings Update: Here's Why Analysts Just Lifted Their Exagen Inc. (NASDAQ:XGN) Price Target To US$14.43

It's been a sad week for Exagen Inc. ( NASDAQ:XGN ), who've watched their investment drop 12% to US$10.38 in the week...
Narrative Update Nov 06

XGN: Shares Set To Climb On Strong Buy Ratings And 50% Upside Potential

Analysts have raised their price target for Exagen, increasing it from approximately $13.14 to $14.00 per share. They cite improved profit margin forecasts and confidence in the company’s diagnostic offerings, despite ongoing sector challenges.
Narrative Update Oct 23

Analysts Boost Exagen Price Target Highlighting Growth Potential and Strong Diagnostic Portfolio

Analysts have raised their price target for Exagen from approximately $11.17 to $13.14. They cite confidence in the company’s diagnostic test portfolio and expectations for improved adoption and financial performance.
Seeking Alpha Sep 13

Exagen's Momentum Meets Execution Risks: Why I Choose To HOLD For Now

Summary Exagen Inc. has rebounded to 52-week highs, driven by record Q2 revenue, higher ASP, and a strengthened balance sheet. XGN's pipeline, including PAD4 and lupus nephritis diagnostics, presents significant long-term growth opportunities but faces regulatory and reimbursement risks. Recent payer wins and executive appointments enhance commercial prospects, but collections risk and delayed insurance payments threaten near-term revenue stability. Given execution risks and valuation premium, I rate XGN as HOLD, awaiting clearer visibility on collections, payer wins, and PAD4 approval. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analysis Article Aug 05

Exagen Inc.'s (NASDAQ:XGN) Share Price Boosted 26% But Its Business Prospects Need A Lift Too

NasdaqGM:XGN 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Exagen's Fair Values from the Community and select yours Despite...
Analysis Article Aug 01

Exagen Inc. (NASDAQ:XGN) Analysts Are Pretty Bullish On The Stock After Recent Results

It's been a pretty great week for Exagen Inc. ( NASDAQ:XGN ) shareholders, with its shares surging 16% to US$8.40 in...
Analysis Article May 18

Exagen Inc.'s (NASDAQ:XGN) Shares Bounce 34% But Its Business Still Trails The Industry

Exagen Inc. ( NASDAQ:XGN ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 34% gain in the last month alone. The...
Analysis Article May 09

Earnings Update: Here's Why Analysts Just Lifted Their Exagen Inc. (NASDAQ:XGN) Price Target To US$7.75

As you might know, Exagen Inc. ( NASDAQ:XGN ) recently reported its quarterly numbers. It looks like a positive result...
Seeking Alpha Apr 26

Exagen: Buy An Undervalued Diagnostics Developer That Is On The Path To Profitability

Summary We initiate coverage on Exagen with a Buy rating, citing a promising turnaround with growing diagnostics, improved margins, and new biomarker tests for lupus and RA. Despite a rocky history, Exagen's recent momentum, modest valuation, and potential upside from new products make it an attractive long-term speculative buy. Financially, Exagen reported $55.6 million in 2024 revenue, improved margins, and expects positive adjusted EBITDA by Q4 2025, supported by new product launches. Key risks include reimbursement uncertainty, competition, cash burn, and execution challenges, but these are balanced by the stock's current valuation and growth potential. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
User avatar
New Narrative Apr 09

Biomarker Launch And AVISE CTD Expansion Will Drive Future Success

New biomarkers and biopharma partnerships are expected to drive revenue growth and enhance diagnostic capabilities, accelerating earnings growth.
Analysis Article Apr 03

There's No Escaping Exagen Inc.'s (NASDAQ:XGN) Muted Revenues Despite A 45% Share Price Rise

The Exagen Inc. ( NASDAQ:XGN ) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 45...
Analysis Article Mar 04

Is Exagen (NASDAQ:XGN) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...
Analysis Article Feb 05

Exagen Inc. (NASDAQ:XGN) Surges 40% Yet Its Low P/S Is No Reason For Excitement

Exagen Inc. ( NASDAQ:XGN ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 40% gain in the last month alone. The...
Analysis Article Dec 22

Exagen Inc.'s (NASDAQ:XGN) Share Price Boosted 26% But Its Business Prospects Need A Lift Too

Despite an already strong run, Exagen Inc. ( NASDAQ:XGN ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 26% in the last...
Analysis Article Sep 06

Improved Revenues Required Before Exagen Inc. (NASDAQ:XGN) Stock's 40% Jump Looks Justified

Despite an already strong run, Exagen Inc. ( NASDAQ:XGN ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 40% in the last...
Analysis Article Aug 07

Analyst Estimates: Here's What Brokers Think Of Exagen Inc. (NASDAQ:XGN) After Its Second-Quarter Report

Exagen Inc. ( NASDAQ:XGN ) just released its quarterly report and things are looking bullish. The results overall were...
Analysis Article Jul 13

Insufficient Growth At Exagen Inc. (NASDAQ:XGN) Hampers Share Price

You may think that with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.6x Exagen Inc. ( NASDAQ:XGN ) is definitely a stock...
Analysis Article May 21

Is Exagen (NASDAQ:XGN) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...
Analysis Article Mar 26

Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Exagen Inc.'s (NASDAQ:XGN) 31% Share Price Plunge

Exagen Inc. ( NASDAQ:XGN ) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month...
Analysis Article Mar 22

Analysts Have Made A Financial Statement On Exagen Inc.'s (NASDAQ:XGN) Annual Report

Exagen Inc. ( NASDAQ:XGN ) just released its latest yearly results and things are looking bullish. Exagen beat...
Analysis Article Jul 21

Exagen Inc.'s (NASDAQ:XGN) Business And Shares Still Trailing The Industry

With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.9x Exagen Inc. ( NASDAQ:XGN ) may be sending very bullish signals at the...
Seeking Alpha Oct 17

Exagen appoints John Aballi as CEO

Exagen (NASDAQ:XGN) has appointed John Aballi as CEO and President. Longtime CEO and President Ron Rocca, who took the company public and built a robust growth business, is stepping down after 11 years at the helm. Most recently, John Aballi served as SVP, General Manager, Urology & CLIA COO at Veracyte.
Analysis Article Aug 10

Analysts Just Slashed Their Exagen Inc. (NASDAQ:XGN) EPS Numbers

Market forces rained on the parade of Exagen Inc. ( NASDAQ:XGN ) shareholders today, when the analysts downgraded their...
Analysis Article Jul 26

Exagen (NASDAQ:XGN) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...
Analysis Article Apr 05

Is Exagen (NASDAQ:XGN) Weighed On By Its Debt Load?

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...
Analysis Article Dec 03

Does Exagen (NASDAQ:XGN) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...

Shareholder Returns

XGNUS BiotechsUS Market
7D18.0%-0.5%0.5%
1Y-39.5%44.4%25.4%

Return vs Industry: XGN underperformed the US Biotechs industry which returned 44.4% over the past year.

Return vs Market: XGN underperformed the US Market which returned 25.4% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is XGN's price volatile compared to industry and market?
XGN volatility
XGN Average Weekly Movement13.3%
Biotechs Industry Average Movement10.6%
Market Average Movement7.2%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market16.0%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market3.2%

Stable Share Price: XGN's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months compared to the US market.

Volatility Over Time: XGN's weekly volatility (13%) has been stable over the past year, but is still higher than 75% of US stocks.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
2002218John Aballiwww.exagen.com

Exagen Inc. designs, develops, and commercializes various testing products under the AVISE brand in the United States. The company enables healthcare providers to care for patients through the diagnosis, prognosis, and monitoring of complex rheumatic, and autoimmune and autoimmune-related diseases, including systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) and rheumatoid arthritis (RA). The company’s lead testing product is AVISE CTD that enables differential diagnosis for patients presenting with symptoms indicative of various connective tissue diseases (CTDs) and other related diseases with overlapping symptoms.

Exagen Inc. Fundamentals Summary

How do Exagen's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
XGN fundamental statistics
Market capUS$83.77m
Earnings (TTM)-US$20.17m
Revenue (TTM)US$68.38m
1.2x
P/S Ratio
-4.2x
P/E Ratio

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
XGN income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$68.38m
Cost of RevenueUS$28.50m
Gross ProfitUS$39.88m
Other ExpensesUS$60.05m
Earnings-US$20.17m

Last Reported Earnings

Mar 31, 2026

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)-0.84
Gross Margin58.32%
Net Profit Margin-29.49%
Debt/Equity Ratio158.5%

How did XGN perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/14 11:48
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/13 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Exagen Inc. is covered by 7 analysts. 7 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Anderson SchockB. Riley Securities, Inc.
Mark MassaroBTIG
Kyle MiksonCanaccord Genuity