Stock Analysis

Subdued Growth No Barrier To Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:RYTM) Price

NasdaqGM:RYTM
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With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 37.9x Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (NASDAQ:RYTM) may be sending very bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all the Biotechs companies in the United States have P/S ratios under 12.6x and even P/S lower than 4x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

View our latest analysis for Rhythm Pharmaceuticals

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGM:RYTM Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 8th 2024

How Rhythm Pharmaceuticals Has Been Performing

With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Rhythm Pharmaceuticals has been doing relatively well. It seems the market expects this form will continue into the future, hence the elevated P/S ratio. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Keen to find out how analysts think Rhythm Pharmaceuticals' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Rhythm Pharmaceuticals' is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company's revenues underwent some rampant growth over the last 12 months. Still, revenue has barely risen at all from three years ago in total, which is not ideal. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the nine analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 87% per year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 240% per year growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in consideration, we believe it doesn't make sense that Rhythm Pharmaceuticals' P/S is outpacing its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Bottom Line On Rhythm Pharmaceuticals' P/S

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

It comes as a surprise to see Rhythm Pharmaceuticals trade at such a high P/S given the revenue forecasts look less than stellar. The weakness in the company's revenue estimate doesn't bode well for the elevated P/S, which could take a fall if the revenue sentiment doesn't improve. This places shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Rhythm Pharmaceuticals you should be aware of.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.