Stock Analysis

Royalty Pharma (NASDAQ:RPRX) Will Pay A Larger Dividend Than Last Year At US$0.19

  •  Updated
NasdaqGS:RPRX
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Royalty Pharma plc's (NASDAQ:RPRX) dividend will be increasing to US$0.19 on 15th of March. Despite this raise, the dividend yield of 1.6% is only a modest boost to shareholder returns.

View our latest analysis for Royalty Pharma

Royalty Pharma's Dividend Is Well Covered By Earnings

If it is predictable over a long period, even low dividend yields can be attractive. Royalty Pharma is quite easily earning enough to cover the dividend, however it is being let down by weak cash flows. With the company not bringing in any cash, paying out to shareholders is bound to become difficult at some point.

Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise by 12.2% over the next year. If the dividend continues on this path, the payout ratio could be 48% by next year, which we think can be pretty sustainable going forward.

historic-dividend
NasdaqGS:RPRX Historic Dividend January 11th 2022

Royalty Pharma Is Still Building Its Track Record

Without a track record of dividend payments, we can't make a judgement on how stable it has been. This doesn't mean that the company can't pay a good dividend, but just that we want to wait until it can prove itself.

Dividend Growth Potential Is Shaky

Investors who have held shares in the company for the past few years will be happy with the dividend income they have received. However, initial appearances might be deceiving. EPS has fallen over the last year, with this year's number 59% below last year. A large drop like this could indicate a major challenge in the business, and could certainly flow through to reduced dividend payments. However, we would never make any decisions based on only a single year of data, especially when assessing long term dividend potential.

The Dividend Could Prove To Be Unreliable

Overall, we always like to see the dividend being raised, but we don't think Royalty Pharma will make a great income stock. While the low payout ratio is redeeming feature, this is offset by the minimal cash to cover the payments. We would be a touch cautious of relying on this stock primarily for the dividend income.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. Taking the debate a bit further, we've identified 4 warning signs for Royalty Pharma that investors need to be conscious of moving forward. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our curated list of strong dividend payers.

What are the risks and opportunities for Royalty Pharma?

Royalty Pharma plc operates as a buyer of biopharmaceutical royalties and a funder of innovations in the biopharmaceutical industry in the United States.

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Rewards

  • Trading at 74.7% below our estimate of its fair value

  • Earnings are forecast to grow 88.07% per year

Risks

  • Profit margins (7.9%) are lower than last year (22.6%)

  • Large one-off items impacting financial results

  • Has a high level of debt

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