Stock Analysis

MiMedx Group, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:MDXG) Shares Bounce 27% But Its Business Still Trails The Industry

NasdaqCM:MDXG
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MiMedx Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:MDXG) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 27% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 37%.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, MiMedx Group may still be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3.5x, since almost half of all companies in the Biotechs industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 12.5x and even P/S higher than 66x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for MiMedx Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:MDXG Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 21st 2024

What Does MiMedx Group's Recent Performance Look Like?

Recent times haven't been great for MiMedx Group as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the uninspiring revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the growth of the P/S ratio. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping revenue doesn't get any worse and that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Keen to find out how analysts think MiMedx Group's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the industry for P/S ratios like MiMedx Group's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 19%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 36% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the six analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 13% per annum over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 209% per year, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this information, we can see why MiMedx Group is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

The Final Word

Shares in MiMedx Group have risen appreciably however, its P/S is still subdued. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of MiMedx Group's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Having said that, be aware MiMedx Group is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those is a bit unpleasant.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether MiMedx Group is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.