Stock Analysis

Here's Why We're Not Too Worried About IDEAYA Biosciences' (NASDAQ:IDYA) Cash Burn Situation

NasdaqGS:IDYA
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There's no doubt that money can be made by owning shares of unprofitable businesses. For example, biotech and mining exploration companies often lose money for years before finding success with a new treatment or mineral discovery. But while history lauds those rare successes, those that fail are often forgotten; who remembers Pets.com?

So, the natural question for IDEAYA Biosciences (NASDAQ:IDYA) shareholders is whether they should be concerned by its rate of cash burn. In this report, we will consider the company's annual negative free cash flow, henceforth referring to it as the 'cash burn'. The first step is to compare its cash burn with its cash reserves, to give us its 'cash runway'.

Check out our latest analysis for IDEAYA Biosciences

How Long Is IDEAYA Biosciences' Cash Runway?

A company's cash runway is calculated by dividing its cash hoard by its cash burn. As at June 2023, IDEAYA Biosciences had cash of US$494m and no debt. Looking at the last year, the company burnt through US$111m. So it had a cash runway of about 4.5 years from June 2023. There's no doubt that this is a reassuringly long runway. Depicted below, you can see how its cash holdings have changed over time.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:IDYA Debt to Equity History October 3rd 2023

How Well Is IDEAYA Biosciences Growing?

IDEAYA Biosciences boosted investment sharply in the last year, with cash burn ramping by 54%. While that certainly gives us pause for thought, we take a lot of comfort in the strong annual revenue growth of 55%. Considering the factors above, the company doesn’t fare badly when it comes to assessing how it is changing over time. Clearly, however, the crucial factor is whether the company will grow its business going forward. So you might want to take a peek at how much the company is expected to grow in the next few years.

How Hard Would It Be For IDEAYA Biosciences To Raise More Cash For Growth?

There's no doubt IDEAYA Biosciences seems to be in a fairly good position, when it comes to managing its cash burn, but even if it's only hypothetical, it's always worth asking how easily it could raise more money to fund growth. Issuing new shares, or taking on debt, are the most common ways for a listed company to raise more money for its business. Commonly, a business will sell new shares in itself to raise cash and drive growth. We can compare a company's cash burn to its market capitalisation to get a sense for how many new shares a company would have to issue to fund one year's operations.

IDEAYA Biosciences has a market capitalisation of US$1.6b and burnt through US$111m last year, which is 7.1% of the company's market value. Given that is a rather small percentage, it would probably be really easy for the company to fund another year's growth by issuing some new shares to investors, or even by taking out a loan.

So, Should We Worry About IDEAYA Biosciences' Cash Burn?

As you can probably tell by now, we're not too worried about IDEAYA Biosciences' cash burn. In particular, we think its revenue growth stands out as evidence that the company is well on top of its spending. Although its increasing cash burn does give us reason for pause, the other metrics we discussed in this article form a positive picture overall. After taking into account the various metrics mentioned in this report, we're pretty comfortable with how the company is spending its cash, as it seems on track to meet its needs over the medium term. An in-depth examination of risks revealed 2 warning signs for IDEAYA Biosciences that readers should think about before committing capital to this stock.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies, and this list of stocks growth stocks (according to analyst forecasts)

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.