Stock Analysis

Deciphera Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:DCPH) Is In A Good Position To Deliver On Growth Plans

NasdaqGS:DCPH
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Even when a business is losing money, it's possible for shareholders to make money if they buy a good business at the right price. For example, although Amazon.com made losses for many years after listing, if you had bought and held the shares since 1999, you would have made a fortune. But the harsh reality is that very many loss making companies burn through all their cash and go bankrupt.

Given this risk, we thought we'd take a look at whether Deciphera Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:DCPH) shareholders should be worried about its cash burn. In this report, we will consider the company's annual negative free cash flow, henceforth referring to it as the 'cash burn'. The first step is to compare its cash burn with its cash reserves, to give us its 'cash runway'.

View our latest analysis for Deciphera Pharmaceuticals

How Long Is Deciphera Pharmaceuticals' Cash Runway?

A company's cash runway is the amount of time it would take to burn through its cash reserves at its current cash burn rate. As at March 2023, Deciphera Pharmaceuticals had cash of US$399m and no debt. Importantly, its cash burn was US$152m over the trailing twelve months. Therefore, from March 2023 it had 2.6 years of cash runway. Notably, analysts forecast that Deciphera Pharmaceuticals will break even (at a free cash flow level) in about 4 years. That means unless the company reduces its cash burn quickly, it may well look to raise more cash. Depicted below, you can see how its cash holdings have changed over time.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:DCPH Debt to Equity History July 26th 2023

How Well Is Deciphera Pharmaceuticals Growing?

It was fairly positive to see that Deciphera Pharmaceuticals reduced its cash burn by 34% during the last year. On top of that, operating revenue was up 38%, making for a heartening combination It seems to be growing nicely. While the past is always worth studying, it is the future that matters most of all. For that reason, it makes a lot of sense to take a look at our analyst forecasts for the company.

Can Deciphera Pharmaceuticals Raise More Cash Easily?

There's no doubt Deciphera Pharmaceuticals seems to be in a fairly good position, when it comes to managing its cash burn, but even if it's only hypothetical, it's always worth asking how easily it could raise more money to fund growth. Companies can raise capital through either debt or equity. Commonly, a business will sell new shares in itself to raise cash and drive growth. By comparing a company's annual cash burn to its total market capitalisation, we can estimate roughly how many shares it would have to issue in order to run the company for another year (at the same burn rate).

Deciphera Pharmaceuticals has a market capitalisation of US$1.0b and burnt through US$152m last year, which is 15% of the company's market value. As a result, we'd venture that the company could raise more cash for growth without much trouble, albeit at the cost of some dilution.

Is Deciphera Pharmaceuticals' Cash Burn A Worry?

As you can probably tell by now, we're not too worried about Deciphera Pharmaceuticals' cash burn. In particular, we think its cash runway stands out as evidence that the company is well on top of its spending. And even though its cash burn relative to its market cap wasn't quite as impressive, it was still a positive. One real positive is that analysts are forecasting that the company will reach breakeven. Considering all the factors discussed in this article, we're not overly concerned about the company's cash burn, although we do think shareholders should keep an eye on how it develops. An in-depth examination of risks revealed 2 warning signs for Deciphera Pharmaceuticals that readers should think about before committing capital to this stock.

Of course Deciphera Pharmaceuticals may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NasdaqGS:DCPH

Deciphera Pharmaceuticals

A biopharmaceutical company, develops drugs to enhance the lives of cancer patients by addressing key mechanisms of drug resistance that limit the rate and durability of response to existing cancer therapies in the United States and internationally.

Flawless balance sheet and slightly overvalued.