Stock Analysis

Cytokinetics' (NASDAQ:CYTK) investors will be pleased with their massive 333% return over the last five years

NasdaqGS:CYTK
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Long term investing can be life changing when you buy and hold the truly great businesses. While the best companies are hard to find, but they can generate massive returns over long periods. For example, the Cytokinetics, Incorporated (NASDAQ:CYTK) share price is up a whopping 333% in the last half decade, a handsome return for long term holders. If that doesn't get you thinking about long term investing, we don't know what will. In the last week the share price is up 1.6%.

With that in mind, it's worth seeing if the company's underlying fundamentals have been the driver of long term performance, or if there are some discrepancies.

See our latest analysis for Cytokinetics

Given that Cytokinetics didn't make a profit in the last twelve months, we'll focus on revenue growth to form a quick view of its business development. Generally speaking, companies without profits are expected to grow revenue every year, and at a good clip. That's because it's hard to be confident a company will be sustainable if revenue growth is negligible, and it never makes a profit.

In the last 5 years Cytokinetics saw its revenue shrink by 0.06% per year. This is in stark contrast to the strong share price growth of 34%, compound, per year. There can be no doubt this kind of decoupling of revenue growth and share price growth is unusual to see in loss making companies. At the risk of upsetting holders, this does suggest that hope for a better future is playing a significant role in the share price action.

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NasdaqGS:CYTK Earnings and Revenue Growth September 17th 2024

Cytokinetics is well known by investors, and plenty of clever analysts have tried to predict the future profit levels. You can see what analysts are predicting for Cytokinetics in this interactive graph of future profit estimates.

A Different Perspective

It's nice to see that Cytokinetics shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 68% over the last year. That's better than the annualised return of 34% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Cytokinetics better, we need to consider many other factors. To that end, you should be aware of the 4 warning signs we've spotted with Cytokinetics .

We will like Cytokinetics better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of undervalued stocks (mostly small caps) with considerable, recent, insider buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.