Stock Analysis

Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Cumberland Pharmaceuticals Inc.'s (NASDAQ:CPIX) Low P/S

NasdaqGS:CPIX
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Cumberland Pharmaceuticals Inc.'s (NASDAQ:CPIX) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.7x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the Pharmaceuticals industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 2.8x and even P/S above 19x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.

See our latest analysis for Cumberland Pharmaceuticals

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:CPIX Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 2nd 2023

What Does Cumberland Pharmaceuticals' Recent Performance Look Like?

Revenue has risen at a steady rate over the last year for Cumberland Pharmaceuticals, which is generally not a bad outcome. Perhaps the market believes the recent revenue performance might fall short of industry figures in the near future, leading to a reduced P/S. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders may have reason to be optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Cumberland Pharmaceuticals, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as depressed as Cumberland Pharmaceuticals' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry decidedly.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 7.4%. The solid recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 19% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 21% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

In light of this, it's understandable that Cumberland Pharmaceuticals' P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the wider industry.

The Final Word

Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our examination of Cumberland Pharmaceuticals confirms that the company's revenue trends over the past three-year years are a key factor in its low price-to-sales ratio, as we suspected, given they fall short of current industry expectations. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price experience a reversal of fortunes anytime soon.

It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for Cumberland Pharmaceuticals that you need to take into consideration.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.