Stock Analysis

Lacklustre Performance Is Driving Carisma Therapeutics, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:CARM) 26% Price Drop

NasdaqGM:CARM
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Carisma Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ:CARM) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 26% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. Longer-term shareholders will rue the drop in the share price, since it's now virtually flat for the year after a promising few quarters.

Following the heavy fall in price, Carisma Therapeutics may be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 6.4x, since almost half of all companies in the Biotechs industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 12.8x and even P/S higher than 50x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Check out our latest analysis for Carisma Therapeutics

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGM:CARM Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 21st 2024

What Does Carisma Therapeutics' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Carisma Therapeutics certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to dive, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think Carisma Therapeutics' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

Carisma Therapeutics' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 135% gain to the company's top line. However, the latest three year period hasn't been as great in aggregate as it didn't manage to provide any growth at all. Therefore, it's fair to say that revenue growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the four analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 28% each year over the next three years. With the industry predicted to deliver 237% growth each year, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

With this in consideration, its clear as to why Carisma Therapeutics' P/S is falling short industry peers. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

What We Can Learn From Carisma Therapeutics' P/S?

The southerly movements of Carisma Therapeutics' shares means its P/S is now sitting at a pretty low level. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Carisma Therapeutics maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider industry, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for Carisma Therapeutics that we have uncovered.

If you're unsure about the strength of Carisma Therapeutics' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.