Stock Analysis

Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ARCT) Shares Lagging The Industry But So Is The Business

NasdaqGM:ARCT
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Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ARCT) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.9x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the Biotechs industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 11.1x and even P/S above 49x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

See our latest analysis for Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGM:ARCT Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 14th 2023

How Has Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Performed Recently?

With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings has been doing relatively well. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think this strong revenue performance might be less impressive moving forward. If the company manages to stay the course, then investors should be rewarded with a share price that matches its revenue figures.

Keen to find out how analysts think Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company's revenues underwent some rampant growth over the last 12 months. The latest three year period has also seen an incredible overall rise in revenue, aided by its incredible short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the nine analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 16% each year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 122% each year, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this information, we can see why Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

What We Can Learn From Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings' P/S?

Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

As we suspected, our examination of Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings' analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. The company will need a change of fortune to justify the P/S rising higher in the future.

It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings that you need to take into consideration.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.