Stock Analysis

Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ARCT) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking

NasdaqGM:ARCT
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With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3.2x Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:ARCT) may be sending very bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all the Biotechs companies in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 13.9x and even P/S higher than 56x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.

View our latest analysis for Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGM:ARCT Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 6th 2024

How Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Has Been Performing

Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think this strong revenue performance might be less impressive moving forward. If the company manages to stay the course, then investors should be rewarded with a share price that matches its revenue figures.

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What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling revenue, and importantly, perform much worse than the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an explosive gain to the company's top line. The amazing performance means it was also able to deliver huge revenue growth over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 16% each year during the coming three years according to the ten analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 231% per year growth forecast for the broader industry.

In light of this, it's understandable that Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings' P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

What We Can Learn From Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings' P/S?

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

As we suspected, our examination of Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings' analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings that you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.