Stock Analysis

Aquestive Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ:AQST) Surges 63% Yet Its Low P/S Is No Reason For Excitement

NasdaqGM:AQST
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Aquestive Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ:AQST) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 63% after a shaky period beforehand. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 34% in the last twelve months.

Although its price has surged higher, Aquestive Therapeutics' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.5x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the Pharmaceuticals industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 3.1x and even P/S above 15x are quite common. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Check out our latest analysis for Aquestive Therapeutics

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGM:AQST Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 17th 2023

What Does Aquestive Therapeutics' Recent Performance Look Like?

Aquestive Therapeutics hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. It seems that many are expecting the poor revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the P/S ratio. So while you could say the stock is cheap, investors will be looking for improvement before they see it as good value.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Aquestive Therapeutics will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

Aquestive Therapeutics' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 6.2% decrease to the company's top line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 9.4% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 25% each year during the coming three years according to the five analysts following the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 31% growth per annum, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

In light of this, it's understandable that Aquestive Therapeutics' P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Bottom Line On Aquestive Therapeutics' P/S

The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Aquestive Therapeutics' P/S close to the industry median. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

As expected, our analysis of Aquestive Therapeutics' analyst forecasts confirms that the company's underwhelming revenue outlook is a major contributor to its low P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Aquestive Therapeutics (of which 1 can't be ignored!) you should know about.

If you're unsure about the strength of Aquestive Therapeutics' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.