Stock Analysis

Alector, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ALEC) Business And Shares Still Trailing The Industry

NasdaqGS:ALEC
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With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 8.2x Alector, Inc. (NASDAQ:ALEC) may be sending bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all the Biotechs companies in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 12.7x and even P/S higher than 74x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

See our latest analysis for Alector

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:ALEC Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 24th 2024

How Alector Has Been Performing

Alector hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. It seems that many are expecting the poor revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the P/S ratio. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Keen to find out how analysts think Alector's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is Alector's Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Alector's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 46%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 158% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 54% per year during the coming three years according to the ten analysts following the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 147% growth per annum, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

In light of this, it's understandable that Alector's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

What We Can Learn From Alector's P/S?

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Alector maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider industry, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Alector you should know about.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NasdaqGS:ALEC

Alector

A clinical stage biopharmaceutical company, develops therapies for the treatment of neurodegeneration diseases.

Flawless balance sheet low.

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