Stock Analysis

When Can We Expect A Profit From Akebia Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ:AKBA)?

NasdaqCM:AKBA
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We feel now is a pretty good time to analyse Akebia Therapeutics, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:AKBA) business as it appears the company may be on the cusp of a considerable accomplishment. Akebia Therapeutics, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development and commercialization of therapeutics for patients with kidney diseases. The US$293m market-cap company’s loss lessened since it announced a US$52m loss in the full financial year, compared to the latest trailing-twelve-month loss of US$40m, as it approaches breakeven. Many investors are wondering about the rate at which Akebia Therapeutics will turn a profit, with the big question being “when will the company breakeven?” We've put together a brief outline of industry analyst expectations for the company, its year of breakeven and its implied growth rate.

Check out our latest analysis for Akebia Therapeutics

According to the 3 industry analysts covering Akebia Therapeutics, the consensus is that breakeven is near. They anticipate the company to incur a final loss in 2025, before generating positive profits of US$34m in 2026. The company is therefore projected to breakeven around 2 years from today. In order to meet this breakeven date, we calculated the rate at which the company must grow year-on-year. It turns out an average annual growth rate of 67% is expected, which signals high confidence from analysts. Should the business grow at a slower rate, it will become profitable at a later date than expected.

earnings-per-share-growth
NasdaqCM:AKBA Earnings Per Share Growth September 6th 2024

Underlying developments driving Akebia Therapeutics' growth isn’t the focus of this broad overview, though, keep in mind that by and large biotechs, depending on the stage of product development, have irregular periods of cash flow. So, a high growth rate is not out of the ordinary, particularly when a company is in a period of investment.

One thing we would like to bring into light with Akebia Therapeutics is it currently has negative equity on its balance sheet. Accounting methods used to deal with losses accumulated over time can cause this to occur. This is because liabilities are carried forward into the future until it cancels. These losses tend to occur only on paper, however, in other cases it can be forewarning.

Next Steps:

There are too many aspects of Akebia Therapeutics to cover in one brief article, but the key fundamentals for the company can all be found in one place – Akebia Therapeutics' company page on Simply Wall St. We've also compiled a list of essential aspects you should further examine:

  1. Historical Track Record: What has Akebia Therapeutics' performance been like over the past? Go into more detail in the past track record analysis and take a look at the free visual representations of our analysis for more clarity.
  2. Management Team: An experienced management team on the helm increases our confidence in the business – take a look at who sits on Akebia Therapeutics' board and the CEO’s background.
  3. Other High-Performing Stocks: Are there other stocks that provide better prospects with proven track records? Explore our free list of these great stocks here.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.