Stock Analysis

Investors Still Waiting For A Pull Back In Spotify Technology S.A. (NYSE:SPOT)

NYSE:SPOT
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Spotify Technology S.A.'s (NYSE:SPOT) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 4.3x may look like a poor investment opportunity when you consider close to half the companies in the Entertainment industry in the United States have P/S ratios below 1.4x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

See our latest analysis for Spotify Technology

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:SPOT Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 9th 2024

How Spotify Technology Has Been Performing

With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, Spotify Technology has been relatively sluggish. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to undergo a reversal of fortunes, which has elevated the P/S ratio. If not, then existing shareholders may be very nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Spotify Technology will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Spotify Technology?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Spotify Technology would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 17%. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 68% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 14% per annum over the next three years. With the industry only predicted to deliver 10% per annum, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.

In light of this, it's understandable that Spotify Technology's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Key Takeaway

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our look into Spotify Technology shows that its P/S ratio remains high on the merit of its strong future revenues. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in revenues is quite remote, justifying the elevated P/S ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Spotify Technology you should know about.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.