Stock Analysis

3 US Stocks Estimated To Be Up To 48.2% Below Intrinsic Value

NasdaqGS:EXE
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As the U.S. stock market experiences a downturn with major indices like the S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Dow Jones posting losses for October, investors are keenly assessing opportunities amid fluctuating earnings reports and economic indicators. In this environment, identifying undervalued stocks becomes crucial as they may offer potential for growth despite broader market challenges.

Top 10 Undervalued Stocks Based On Cash Flows In The United States

NameCurrent PriceFair Value (Est)Discount (Est)
Atlanticus Holdings (NasdaqGS:ATLC)$37.19$72.4948.7%
Cadence Bank (NYSE:CADE)$33.43$64.6848.3%
WEX (NYSE:WEX)$172.60$343.9849.8%
Constellium (NYSE:CSTM)$11.10$21.6348.7%
Okta (NasdaqGS:OKTA)$71.89$138.6948.2%
Reddit (NYSE:RDDT)$119.30$230.1348.2%
AeroVironment (NasdaqGS:AVAV)$214.96$419.9948.8%
Bowhead Specialty Holdings (NYSE:BOW)$29.11$56.4948.5%
Verra Mobility (NasdaqCM:VRRM)$25.97$50.0548.1%
Vertex Pharmaceuticals (NasdaqGS:VRTX)$475.98$917.1948.1%

Click here to see the full list of 185 stocks from our Undervalued US Stocks Based On Cash Flows screener.

Here we highlight a subset of our preferred stocks from the screener.

Expand Energy (NasdaqGS:EXE)

Overview: Expand Energy Corporation is an independent exploration and production company operating in the United States, with a market cap of approximately $19.57 billion.

Operations: The company generates revenue of $3.29 billion from its exploration and production activities in the United States.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 39.9%

Expand Energy appears undervalued based on discounted cash flow analysis, trading at US$84.72 against an estimated fair value of US$140.92. Despite a recent net loss and reduced profit margins, the company's earnings and revenue are forecast to grow significantly faster than the market, with earnings expected to increase by 65.1% annually. However, shareholder dilution and a dividend not well-covered by earnings present risks. A substantial share buyback program may support stock value recovery efforts amidst these challenges.

NasdaqGS:EXE Discounted Cash Flow as at Nov 2024
NasdaqGS:EXE Discounted Cash Flow as at Nov 2024

Reddit (NYSE:RDDT)

Overview: Reddit, Inc. operates a website that organizes digital communities and has a market cap of $20.95 billion.

Operations: The company generates revenue of $1.12 billion from its Internet Information Providers segment.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 48.2%

Reddit, Inc. is trading at US$119.3, significantly below its estimated fair value of US$230.13, suggesting undervaluation based on discounted cash flow analysis. Despite recent earnings improvements with a net income of US$29.85 million for Q3 2024, the company has experienced high volatility and insider selling recently. Revenue is projected to grow over 21% annually, outpacing the U.S. market growth rate and supporting potential future profitability within three years despite current losses.

NYSE:RDDT Discounted Cash Flow as at Nov 2024
NYSE:RDDT Discounted Cash Flow as at Nov 2024

Smurfit Westrock (NYSE:SW)

Overview: Smurfit Westrock Plc, along with its subsidiaries, is engaged in the manufacturing, distribution, and sale of containerboard, corrugated containers, and other paper-based packaging products both in Ireland and internationally; it has a market cap of approximately $26.68 billion.

Operations: The company's revenue is derived from its operations in manufacturing, distributing, and selling containerboard, corrugated containers, and various paper-based packaging products across Ireland and international markets.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 46.9%

Smurfit Westrock is trading at US$51.5, well below its estimated fair value of US$96.91, indicating potential undervaluation based on discounted cash flow analysis. Despite forecasted earnings growth of 31.6% annually, recent financial results show a net loss of US$150 million for Q3 2024 and significant shareholder dilution over the past year. Revenue growth is expected to outpace the U.S. market, but profit margins have declined significantly from last year’s levels.

NYSE:SW Discounted Cash Flow as at Nov 2024
NYSE:SW Discounted Cash Flow as at Nov 2024

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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