Stock Analysis

Earnings Working Against Scienjoy Holding Corporation's (NASDAQ:SJ) Share Price Following 29% Dive

Scienjoy Holding Corporation (NASDAQ:SJ) shares have retraced a considerable 29% in the last month, reversing a fair amount of their solid recent performance. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 51% share price decline.

Following the heavy fall in price, given close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 18x, you may consider Scienjoy Holding as a highly attractive investment with its 4.9x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

For instance, Scienjoy Holding's receding earnings in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the disappointing earnings performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/E. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

View our latest analysis for Scienjoy Holding

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NasdaqCM:SJ Price Based on Past Earnings December 16th 2021
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Scienjoy Holding, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
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Is There Any Growth For Scienjoy Holding?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the market for P/E ratios like Scienjoy Holding's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 50%. That put a dampener on the good run it was having over the longer-term as its three-year EPS growth is still a noteworthy 14% in total. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing earnings over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 11% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

In light of this, it's understandable that Scienjoy Holding's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Bottom Line On Scienjoy Holding's P/E

Shares in Scienjoy Holding have plummeted and its P/E is now low enough to touch the ground. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Scienjoy Holding maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its recent three-year growth being lower than the wider market forecast, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Having said that, be aware Scienjoy Holding is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, you should know about.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a P/E below 20x.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NasdaqCM:SJ

Scienjoy Holding

Engages in the provision of mobile live streaming platforms in the People’s Republic of China.

Flawless balance sheet with moderate risk.

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