Stock Analysis

Vivid Seats' (NASDAQ:SEAT) Returns On Capital Are Heading Higher

NasdaqGS:SEAT
Source: Shutterstock

What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? Firstly, we'll want to see a proven return on capital employed (ROCE) that is increasing, and secondly, an expanding base of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. So on that note, Vivid Seats (NASDAQ:SEAT) looks quite promising in regards to its trends of return on capital.

What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?

Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. The formula for this calculation on Vivid Seats is:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.13 = US$101m ÷ (US$1.2b - US$431m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2023).

Therefore, Vivid Seats has an ROCE of 13%. That's a relatively normal return on capital, and it's around the 12% generated by the Entertainment industry.

View our latest analysis for Vivid Seats

roce
NasdaqGS:SEAT Return on Capital Employed May 10th 2023

In the above chart we have measured Vivid Seats' prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.

SWOT Analysis for Vivid Seats

Strength
  • Earnings growth over the past year exceeded the industry.
  • Debt is not viewed as a risk.
Weakness
  • No major weaknesses identified for SEAT.
Opportunity
  • Annual earnings are forecast to grow faster than the American market.
  • Good value based on P/E ratio and estimated fair value.
Threat
  • Revenue is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

The Trend Of ROCE

Like most people, we're pleased that Vivid Seats is now generating some pretax earnings. The company was generating losses three years ago, but now it's turned around, earning 13% which is no doubt a relief for some early shareholders. At first glance, it seems the business is getting more proficient at generating returns, because over the same period, the amount of capital employed has reduced by 34%. Vivid Seats could be selling under-performing assets since the ROCE is improving.

On a side note, we noticed that the improvement in ROCE appears to be partly fueled by an increase in current liabilities. Effectively this means that suppliers or short-term creditors are now funding 35% of the business, which is more than it was three years ago. Keep an eye out for future increases because when the ratio of current liabilities to total assets gets particularly high, this can introduce some new risks for the business.

The Bottom Line

In the end, Vivid Seats has proven it's capital allocation skills are good with those higher returns from less amount of capital. Since the stock has returned a solid 16% to shareholders over the last year, it's fair to say investors are beginning to recognize these changes. So given the stock has proven it has promising trends, it's worth researching the company further to see if these trends are likely to persist.

While Vivid Seats looks impressive, no company is worth an infinite price. The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether SEAT is currently trading for a fair price.

For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.