Vivid Seats (SEAT) Stock Overview
Operates as an online ticket marketplace in the United States, Canada, and Japan. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 5/6 |
| Future Growth | 0/6 |
| Past Performance | 0/6 |
| Financial Health | 0/6 |
| Dividends | 0/6 |
Rewards
Risk Analysis
SEAT Community Fair Values
Create NarrativeSee what 10 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.
Analyst Price Targets
CE
Ceazar
Community ContributorUS$7.43FV • 50.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
36.8%Revenue growth p.a.
2.5k
14
0
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Vivid Seats Inc. Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | US$6.78 |
| 52 Week High | US$56.50 |
| 52 Week Low | US$5.06 |
| Beta | 0.97 |
| 1 Month Change | 6.44% |
| 3 Month Change | -7.00% |
| 1 Year Change | -87.49% |
| 3 Year Change | -95.42% |
| 5 Year Change | -96.59% |
| Change since IPO | -96.61% |
Recent News & Updates
SEAT: High Operating Leverage And App Momentum Will Drive Earnings Recovery
Narrative update on Vivid Seats Analysts have reset Vivid Seats' targets into a lower $5.65 to $15 range, trimming prior goals such as $18, $12, $10 and $9. They are weighing ongoing GOV and revenue pressure, competitive uncertainty, and mixed quarterly results against early signs of customer momentum, app traction, and potential benefits from operating leverage and possible consolidation.SEAT: Execution Improvements And New CFO Hire Will Drive Earnings Recovery
Analysts have trimmed the fair value estimate for Vivid Seats from $11.88 to $9.58, reflecting a mix of lowered price targets in the $5.65 to $15 range as they balance ongoing GOV pressure and competitive risks against early signs of operational momentum and stabilization. Analyst Commentary Street research on Vivid Seats clusters around a common theme of pressure on gross order volume, profitability, and competitive positioning, paired with some cautiously constructive views on execution and potential upside if recent operational changes start to play through.
SEAT: Future App Traction And Competitive Pressure Will Shape Risk Reward Balance
Narrative Update on Vivid Seats The analyst price target for Vivid Seats has moved from $7 to $5.65 as analysts weigh early signs of traction in app engagement and operating leverage against continued declines in gross order value (GOV), competitive pressures, and recent mixed quarterly results. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Vivid Seats points to a split view, with some highlighting upside tied to operating and financial leverage, while a growing group of bearish analysts is trimming price targets and stressing execution risks.SEAT: Future Competitive Pressure And GOV Declines Will Drive Downside Risk
Analysts have trimmed the Vivid Seats price target to $5.65 from $7. This reflects softer recent quarters, ongoing competitive pressure and mixed views on how quickly operational improvements and customer traction can translate into more durable profitability.Recent updates
SEAT: High Operating Leverage And App Momentum Will Drive Earnings Recovery
Narrative update on Vivid Seats Analysts have reset Vivid Seats' targets into a lower $5.65 to $15 range, trimming prior goals such as $18, $12, $10 and $9. They are weighing ongoing GOV and revenue pressure, competitive uncertainty, and mixed quarterly results against early signs of customer momentum, app traction, and potential benefits from operating leverage and possible consolidation.SEAT: Execution Improvements And New CFO Hire Will Drive Earnings Recovery
Analysts have trimmed the fair value estimate for Vivid Seats from $11.88 to $9.58, reflecting a mix of lowered price targets in the $5.65 to $15 range as they balance ongoing GOV pressure and competitive risks against early signs of operational momentum and stabilization. Analyst Commentary Street research on Vivid Seats clusters around a common theme of pressure on gross order volume, profitability, and competitive positioning, paired with some cautiously constructive views on execution and potential upside if recent operational changes start to play through.SEAT: Future App Traction And Competitive Pressure Will Shape Risk Reward Balance
Narrative Update on Vivid Seats The analyst price target for Vivid Seats has moved from $7 to $5.65 as analysts weigh early signs of traction in app engagement and operating leverage against continued declines in gross order value (GOV), competitive pressures, and recent mixed quarterly results. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Vivid Seats points to a split view, with some highlighting upside tied to operating and financial leverage, while a growing group of bearish analysts is trimming price targets and stressing execution risks.SEAT: Future Competitive Pressure And GOV Declines Will Drive Downside Risk
Analysts have trimmed the Vivid Seats price target to $5.65 from $7. This reflects softer recent quarters, ongoing competitive pressure and mixed views on how quickly operational improvements and customer traction can translate into more durable profitability.SEAT: Earnings Execution And New CFO Appointment Will Support Recovery
Analysts have raised their Vivid Seats fair value estimate from $11.38 to $11.88, citing updated assumptions on discount rates, profit margins, and future P/E as the basis for this revised price target. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Vivid Seats reflects a mix of optimism on execution and caution on valuation and risk, even as fair value estimates are adjusted.
SEAT: Reset GOV Assumptions And New CFO Will Support Bullish Repricing
Analysts have reduced their $18.00 fair value target for Vivid Seats, citing slightly softer revenue growth assumptions, a modestly lower profit margin outlook, and a small uptick in future P/E expectations, in line with a recent price target cut to $11 by Deutsche Bank. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts view the revised $18.00 fair value as still supportive of upside from recent trading levels, even after aligning assumptions with the reduced $11 price target referenced in recent research.Health Check: How Prudently Does Vivid Seats (NASDAQ:SEAT) Use Debt?
Feb 11
SEAT: Loyalty Partnership And 2026 GOV Outlook Will Support Recovery
Narrative Update: Vivid Seats Analysts have reduced their price target on Vivid Seats from about US$12.60 to roughly US$11.38. This reflects updated expectations for slightly softer revenue trends, a modestly lower profit margin outlook, and a lower future P/E multiple in light of recently lowered Street targets following increased competition and pressure on growth metrics.SEAT: Future GOV And Competition Will Shape Balanced Risk Reward
Analysts have cut their fair value estimate for Vivid Seats from US$18.00 to US$7.00, reflecting recent price target reductions on the stock and updated views on slower revenue contraction, slightly higher discount rates, improved profit margins, and a lower assumed future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research highlights a clear reset in expectations around Vivid Seats, with several bearish analysts cutting price targets sharply and pointing to execution and growth risks that could weigh on the stock's valuation.SEAT: Management Outlook And Loyalty Partnership Will Support GOV Recovery
Narrative Update: Vivid Seats The analyst fair value estimate for Vivid Seats has moved from about $13.33 to $12.60, reflecting analysts' lower price targets. These include cuts tied to recent Q3 competition impacts, contracting GOV, and reduced GOV and revenue estimates for Q4 and the 2026 outlook.SEAT: Medium Term GOV Reset Will Support Bullish Repricing
Analysts have cut their price target on Vivid Seats roughly in half to $18, reflecting reduced fair value expectations amid intensified competitive pressures, lower projected gross order volume, and a reset growth outlook. Analyst Commentary Despite the sharp reset in official price targets, bullish analysts highlight that the revised ranges continue to imply upside from current trading levels.Vivid Seats Inc. (NASDAQ:SEAT) Not Doing Enough For Some Investors As Its Shares Slump 25%
Dec 20SEAT: Management Outlook Will Support Recovery Despite 29% Gross Order Volume Slide
Analysts have trimmed their average price target on Vivid Seats to about $12, down sharply from previous expectations near the mid-$20s. They cite intensified competitive pressure, weaker gross order volume trends, and lower projected marketplace take rates that weigh on the company’s medium term growth outlook.SEAT: Management Outlook Will Support Recovery Despite 29% Order Value Decline
Analysts have significantly reduced their price targets for Vivid Seats, lowering the fair value estimate from approximately $23 to around $13 per share. They cite ongoing competitive pressures, weaker growth expectations, and revised management guidance impacting future revenue and profitability forecasts.SEAT: Competitive Pressures Will Ease As New Partnerships Drive Rebound
Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for Vivid Seats from $26.33 to $23.11. They cite a more conservative revenue outlook and ongoing competitive pressures in the ticketing marketplace as the main reasons for this adjustment.Little Excitement Around Vivid Seats Inc.'s (NASDAQ:SEAT) Revenues As Shares Take 27% Pounding
Oct 31Investors Don't See Light At End Of Vivid Seats Inc.'s (NASDAQ:SEAT) Tunnel And Push Stock Down 38%
Sep 06International Expansion And Efficiency Will Unlock Future Value
The significant upward revision in Vivid Seats’ fair value is primarily driven by improved revenue growth expectations and a markedly lower future P/E multiple, leading to a consensus analyst price target increase from $2.72 to $8.82. What's in the News Vivid Seats approved an amendment allowing a reverse stock split of its Class A and Class B common stock, at a ratio between 1-for-5 and 1-for-30, with the specific ratio to be set by the Board.Vivid Seats Inc. (NASDAQ:SEAT) Stock Catapults 27% Though Its Price And Business Still Lag The Industry
Jul 03Vivid Seats (NASDAQ:SEAT) Shareholders Will Want The ROCE Trajectory To Continue
Jun 25Vivid Seats: Contrarian Upside Through Take-Rate Resilience And Global Expansion
Jun 12Why Vivid Seats Inc. (NASDAQ:SEAT) Could Be Worth Watching
May 30Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Vivid Seats Inc.'s (NASDAQ:SEAT) 29% Share Price Plunge
May 08Is Vivid Seats Inc. (NASDAQ:SEAT) Trading At A 37% Discount?
Apr 07Lacklustre Performance Is Driving Vivid Seats Inc.'s (NASDAQ:SEAT) 34% Price Drop
Mar 13Vivid Seats (NASDAQ:SEAT) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt
Mar 12Is It Time To Consider Buying Vivid Seats Inc. (NASDAQ:SEAT)?
Jan 31Vivid Seats: GOV Slowdown Clouds Growth
Dec 28An Intrinsic Calculation For Vivid Seats Inc. (NASDAQ:SEAT) Suggests It's 49% Undervalued
Dec 27Vivid Seats (NASDAQ:SEAT) Is Doing The Right Things To Multiply Its Share Price
Nov 09
SkyBox Drive And Tactical Expansions Set To Boost Profitability And Market Share
Expansion into international markets and strategic acquisitions aim to drive revenue growth and enhance inventory synergization without proportionally raising sales expenses.Vivid Seats: Growth Momentum Is Severely Undervalued Due To Margin Concerns (Rating Upgrade)
Aug 01Investors Will Want Vivid Seats' (NASDAQ:SEAT) Growth In ROCE To Persist
Jul 25What Is Vivid Seats Inc.'s (NASDAQ:SEAT) Share Price Doing?
May 31Shareholder Returns
| SEAT | US Entertainment | US Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | -0.3% | -2.3% | 0.8% |
| 1Y | -87.5% | -7.2% | 27.7% |
Return vs Industry: SEAT underperformed the US Entertainment industry which returned -3% over the past year.
Return vs Market: SEAT underperformed the US Market which returned 28.7% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| SEAT volatility | |
|---|---|
| SEAT Average Weekly Movement | 14.0% |
| Entertainment Industry Average Movement | 9.2% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.2% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.2% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.3% |
Stable Share Price: SEAT's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months compared to the US market.
Volatility Over Time: SEAT's weekly volatility (14%) has been stable over the past year, but is still higher than 75% of US stocks.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2001 | 561 | Larry Fey | www.vividseats.com |
Vivid Seats Inc. operates as an online ticket marketplace in the United States, Canada, and Japan. It operates in two segments, Marketplace and Resale. The Marketplace segment acts as an intermediary between event ticket buyers and sellers through its website and mobile applications, including Vivid Seats; Vegas.com, an online ticket marketplace for shows, attractions, tours, flights, and hotels in Las Vegas; Wavedash, an online ticket marketplace in Tokyo, Japan; and Vivid Picks, a real-money daily fantasy sports mobile application with social and gamification features.
Vivid Seats Inc. Fundamentals Summary
| SEAT fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | US$72.13m |
| Earnings (TTM) | -US$429.30m |
| Revenue (TTM) | US$570.78m |
0.1x
P/S Ratio-0.2x
P/E RatioIs SEAT overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| SEAT income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$570.78m |
| Cost of Revenue | US$173.44m |
| Gross Profit | US$397.34m |
| Other Expenses | US$826.64m |
| Earnings | -US$429.30m |
Last Reported Earnings
Dec 31, 2025
Next Earnings Date
May 05, 2026
| Earnings per share (EPS) | -39.88 |
| Gross Margin | 69.61% |
| Net Profit Margin | -75.21% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | -455.0% |
How did SEAT perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/01 11:51 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/01 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Vivid Seats Inc. is covered by 15 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Daniel Kurnos | Benchmark Company |
| Steven McDermott | BofA Global Research |
| Maria Ripps | Canaccord Genuity |