Stock Analysis

Vivid Seats (NASDAQ:SEAT) Posted Healthy Earnings But There Are Some Other Factors To Be Aware Of

NasdaqGS:SEAT
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Last week's profit announcement from Vivid Seats Inc. (NASDAQ:SEAT) was underwhelming for investors, despite headline numbers being robust. We did some digging and found some worrying underlying problems.

View our latest analysis for Vivid Seats

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NasdaqGS:SEAT Earnings and Revenue History March 15th 2024

In order to understand the potential for per share returns, it is essential to consider how much a company is diluting shareholders. In fact, Vivid Seats increased the number of shares on issue by 7.6% over the last twelve months by issuing new shares. Therefore, each share now receives a smaller portion of profit. Per share metrics like EPS help us understand how much actual shareholders are benefitting from the company's profits, while the net income level gives us a better view of the company's absolute size. Check out Vivid Seats' historical EPS growth by clicking on this link.

A Look At The Impact Of Vivid Seats' Dilution On Its Earnings Per Share (EPS)

Unfortunately, we don't have any visibility into its profits three years back, because we lack the data. The good news is that profit was up 160% in the last twelve months. On the other hand, earnings per share are only up 125% over the same period. And so, you can see quite clearly that dilution is influencing shareholder earnings.

In the long term, earnings per share growth should beget share price growth. So it will certainly be a positive for shareholders if Vivid Seats can grow EPS persistently. However, if its profit increases while its earnings per share stay flat (or even fall) then shareholders might not see much benefit. For the ordinary retail shareholder, EPS is a great measure to check your hypothetical "share" of the company's profit.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On Vivid Seats' Profit Performance

Vivid Seats shareholders should keep in mind how many new shares it is issuing, because, dilution clearly has the power to severely impact shareholder returns. Therefore, it seems possible to us that Vivid Seats' true underlying earnings power is actually less than its statutory profit. But the happy news is that, while acknowledging we have to look beyond the statutory numbers, those numbers are still improving, with EPS growing at a very high rate over the last year. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. If you want to do dive deeper into Vivid Seats, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. In terms of investment risks, we've identified 1 warning sign with Vivid Seats, and understanding it should be part of your investment process.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Vivid Seats' profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Vivid Seats is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.