Vivid Seats Inc.

NasdaqGS:SEAT Stock Report

Market Cap: US$731.3m

Vivid Seats Valuation

Is SEAT undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SEAT when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SEAT ($3.52) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($7.45)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SEAT is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SEAT?

Key metric: As SEAT is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SEAT. This is calculated by dividing SEAT's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SEAT's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio13.1x
EarningsUS$35.28m
Market CapUS$731.26m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SEAT's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SEAT vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average22.6x
IMAX IMAX
55.5x21.2%US$1.3b
MSGE Madison Square Garden Entertainment
9.2x-25.1%US$1.6b
IQ iQIYI
10.1x18.0%US$2.0b
CNK Cinemark Holdings
15.7x8.6%US$3.7b
SEAT Vivid Seats
13.1x20.9%US$731.3m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SEAT is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.1x) compared to the peer average (22.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SEAT's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Entertainment Industry?

8 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
DDI DoubleDown Interactive
4.7x0.3%US$534.19m
IH iHuman
5xn/aUS$90.08m
RDBX Redbox Entertainment
1.2x-121.8%US$76.65m
GMM Global Mofy AI
0.5xn/aUS$8.84m
SEAT 13.1xIndustry Avg. 17.4xNo. of Companies8PE020406080100+
8 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SEAT is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.1x) compared to the US Entertainment industry average (17.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SEAT's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SEAT PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio13.1x
Fair PE Ratio19.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SEAT is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SEAT forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$3.52
US$5.62
+59.7%
20.9%US$8.00US$4.00n/a12
Dec ’25US$3.58
US$5.70
+59.1%
19.7%US$8.00US$4.00n/a12
Nov ’25US$4.13
US$7.02
+70.0%
24.3%US$10.00US$4.50n/a12
Oct ’25US$3.86
US$7.40
+91.8%
25.3%US$11.00US$4.50n/a13
Sep ’25US$4.65
US$8.17
+75.8%
33.8%US$15.00US$4.50n/a13
Aug ’25US$4.62
US$9.12
+97.3%
26.4%US$15.00US$5.50n/a13
Jul ’25US$5.30
US$9.19
+73.4%
25.0%US$15.00US$6.50n/a13
Jun ’25US$5.05
US$9.19
+82.0%
25.0%US$15.00US$6.50n/a13
May ’25US$5.19
US$9.38
+80.6%
27.1%US$15.00US$7.00n/a12
Apr ’25US$6.02
US$9.92
+64.7%
25.9%US$15.00US$7.00n/a12
Mar ’25US$6.11
US$10.63
+73.9%
19.0%US$15.00US$7.50n/a12
Feb ’25US$5.73
US$10.86
+89.6%
17.5%US$15.00US$8.00n/a11
Jan ’25US$6.32
US$10.82
+71.2%
17.7%US$15.00US$8.00n/a11
Dec ’24US$8.36
US$10.82
+29.4%
17.7%US$15.00US$8.00US$3.5811
Nov ’24US$5.73
US$11.55
+101.5%
28.3%US$19.00US$8.00US$4.1311
Oct ’24US$6.42
US$11.68
+82.0%
27.1%US$19.00US$8.00US$3.8611
Sep ’24US$7.33
US$11.63
+58.6%
26.1%US$19.00US$8.00US$4.6512
Aug ’24US$7.89
US$12.02
+52.4%
24.4%US$20.00US$9.00US$4.6212
Jul ’24US$7.92
US$12.20
+54.1%
24.6%US$20.00US$9.00US$5.3011
Jun ’24US$7.40
US$12.20
+64.9%
24.6%US$20.00US$9.00US$5.0511
May ’24US$7.25
US$11.36
+56.7%
28.9%US$20.00US$8.00US$5.1911
Apr ’24US$7.63
US$11.36
+48.9%
28.9%US$20.00US$8.00US$6.0211
Mar ’24US$7.57
US$11.60
+53.2%
29.2%US$20.00US$8.00US$6.1110
Feb ’24US$8.21
US$11.60
+41.3%
29.2%US$20.00US$8.00US$5.7310
Jan ’24US$7.30
US$11.70
+60.3%
28.1%US$20.00US$8.00US$6.3210
Dec ’23US$8.27
US$11.70
+41.5%
28.1%US$20.00US$8.00US$8.3610

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/22 04:33
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Vivid Seats Inc. is covered by 17 analysts. 13 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Daniel KurnosBenchmark Company
Curtis NagleBofA Global Research
Maria RippsCanaccord Genuity