Vivid Seats Inc.

NasdaqGS:SEAT Stock Report

Market Cap: US$754.1m

Vivid Seats Valuation

Is SEAT undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SEAT when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SEAT ($3.61) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($7.6)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SEAT is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SEAT?

Key metric: As SEAT is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SEAT. This is calculated by dividing SEAT's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SEAT's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio13.5x
EarningsUS$35.28m
Market CapUS$754.12m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SEAT's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SEAT vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average22.7x
IMAX IMAX
55.9x20.9%US$1.3b
MSGE Madison Square Garden Entertainment
10x-26.7%US$1.7b
IQ iQIYI
8.4x14.7%US$2.1b
CNK Cinemark Holdings
16.4x7.7%US$3.9b
SEAT Vivid Seats
13.5x21.5%US$754.1m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SEAT is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.5x) compared to the peer average (22.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SEAT's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Entertainment Industry?

6 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
IH iHuman
4.4xn/aUS$85.89m
RDBX Redbox Entertainment
1.2x-121.8%US$76.65m
GMM Global Mofy AI
0.7xn/aUS$11.04m
MSGM Motorsport Games
0.7xn/aUS$3.44m
SEAT 13.5xIndustry Avg. 21.5xNo. of Companies6PE020406080100+
6 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SEAT is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.5x) compared to the US Entertainment industry average (21.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SEAT's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SEAT PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio13.5x
Fair PE Ratio19.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SEAT is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.8x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SEAT forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$3.61
US$5.70
+57.8%
19.7%US$8.00US$4.00n/a12
Nov ’25US$4.13
US$7.02
+70.0%
24.3%US$10.00US$4.50n/a12
Oct ’25US$3.86
US$7.40
+91.8%
25.3%US$11.00US$4.50n/a13
Sep ’25US$4.65
US$8.17
+75.8%
33.8%US$15.00US$4.50n/a13
Aug ’25US$4.62
US$9.12
+97.3%
26.4%US$15.00US$5.50n/a13
Jul ’25US$5.30
US$9.19
+73.4%
25.0%US$15.00US$6.50n/a13
Jun ’25US$5.05
US$9.19
+82.0%
25.0%US$15.00US$6.50n/a13
May ’25US$5.19
US$9.38
+80.6%
27.1%US$15.00US$7.00n/a12
Apr ’25US$6.02
US$9.92
+64.7%
25.9%US$15.00US$7.00n/a12
Mar ’25US$6.11
US$10.63
+73.9%
19.0%US$15.00US$7.50n/a12
Feb ’25US$5.73
US$10.86
+89.6%
17.5%US$15.00US$8.00n/a11
Jan ’25US$6.32
US$10.82
+71.2%
17.7%US$15.00US$8.00n/a11
Dec ’24US$8.36
US$10.82
+29.4%
17.7%US$15.00US$8.00n/a11
Nov ’24US$5.73
US$11.55
+101.5%
28.3%US$19.00US$8.00US$4.1311
Oct ’24US$6.42
US$11.68
+82.0%
27.1%US$19.00US$8.00US$3.8611
Sep ’24US$7.33
US$11.63
+58.6%
26.1%US$19.00US$8.00US$4.6512
Aug ’24US$7.89
US$12.02
+52.4%
24.4%US$20.00US$9.00US$4.6212
Jul ’24US$7.92
US$12.20
+54.1%
24.6%US$20.00US$9.00US$5.3011
Jun ’24US$7.40
US$12.20
+64.9%
24.6%US$20.00US$9.00US$5.0511
May ’24US$7.25
US$11.36
+56.7%
28.9%US$20.00US$8.00US$5.1911
Apr ’24US$7.63
US$11.36
+48.9%
28.9%US$20.00US$8.00US$6.0211
Mar ’24US$7.57
US$11.60
+53.2%
29.2%US$20.00US$8.00US$6.1110
Feb ’24US$8.21
US$11.60
+41.3%
29.2%US$20.00US$8.00US$5.7310
Jan ’24US$7.30
US$11.70
+60.3%
28.1%US$20.00US$8.00US$6.3210
Dec ’23US$8.27
US$11.70
+41.5%
28.1%US$20.00US$8.00US$8.3610
Nov ’23US$8.18
US$12.65
+54.6%
33.0%US$24.00US$9.00US$5.7310

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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