Stock Analysis

Why We're Not Concerned About Bilibili Inc.'s (NASDAQ:BILI) Share Price

NasdaqGS:BILI
Source: Shutterstock

When close to half the companies in the Entertainment industry in the United States have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.2x, you may consider Bilibili Inc. (NASDAQ:BILI) as a stock to potentially avoid with its 2x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for Bilibili

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:BILI Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 24th 2023

How Bilibili Has Been Performing

Recent times haven't been great for Bilibili as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. It might be that many expect the uninspiring revenue performance to recover significantly, which has kept the P/S ratio from collapsing. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Bilibili.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Bilibili?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Bilibili would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 6.5%. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see revenue up by 154% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 17% per annum during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 9.1% each year growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this information, we can see why Bilibili is trading at such a high P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Bottom Line On Bilibili's P/S

We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of Bilibili's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook is contributing to its high P/S. It appears that shareholders are confident in the company's future revenues, which is propping up the P/S. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Bilibili you should be aware of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Bilibili might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

Access Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.