What underlying fundamental trends can indicate that a company might be in decline? When we see a declining return on capital employed (ROCE) in conjunction with a declining base of capital employed, that's often how a mature business shows signs of aging. Basically the company is earning less on its investments and it is also reducing its total assets. On that note, looking into AMC Networks (NASDAQ:AMCX), we weren't too upbeat about how things were going.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for AMC Networks, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.12 = US$430m ÷ (US$4.4b - US$703m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2024).
So, AMC Networks has an ROCE of 12%. On its own, that's a standard return, however it's much better than the 9.4% generated by the Media industry.
View our latest analysis for AMC Networks
Above you can see how the current ROCE for AMC Networks compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering AMC Networks for free.
What Can We Tell From AMC Networks' ROCE Trend?
The trend of ROCE at AMC Networks is showing some signs of weakness. To be more specific, today's ROCE was 15% five years ago but has since fallen to 12%. On top of that, the business is utilizing 24% less capital within its operations. The combination of lower ROCE and less capital employed can indicate that a business is likely to be facing some competitive headwinds or seeing an erosion to its moat. If these underlying trends continue, we wouldn't be too optimistic going forward.
In Conclusion...
In summary, it's unfortunate that AMC Networks is shrinking its capital base and also generating lower returns. This could explain why the stock has sunk a total of 75% in the last five years. Unless there is a shift to a more positive trajectory in these metrics, we would look elsewhere.
On a separate note, we've found 1 warning sign for AMC Networks you'll probably want to know about.
While AMC Networks isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NasdaqGS:AMCX
AMC Networks
An entertainment company, distributes contents in the United States, Europe, and internationally.
Undervalued with moderate growth potential.
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