Stock Analysis
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Benign Growth For United States Steel Corporation (NYSE:X) Underpins Its Share Price
When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 18x, you may consider United States Steel Corporation (NYSE:X) as an attractive investment with its 9.9x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Recent times haven't been advantageous for United States Steel as its earnings have been falling quicker than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the dismal earnings performance to persist, which has repressed the P/E. You'd much rather the company wasn't bleeding earnings if you still believe in the business. If not, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.
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The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as United States Steel's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 50% decrease to the company's bottom line. This has erased any of its gains during the last three years, with practically no change in EPS being achieved in total. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the eight analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 0.6% each year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 9.9% per annum growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's understandable that United States Steel's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
The Final Word
While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
We've established that United States Steel maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
You always need to take note of risks, for example - United States Steel has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on United States Steel, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:X
United States Steel
Produces and sells flat-rolled and tubular steel products primarily in North America and Europe.