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Orion S.A.'s (NYSE:OEC) 25% Dip In Price Shows Sentiment Is Matching Earnings
To the annoyance of some shareholders, Orion S.A. (NYSE:OEC) shares are down a considerable 25% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 21% share price drop.
Since its price has dipped substantially, Orion may be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 12.5x, since almost half of all companies in the United States have P/E ratios greater than 18x and even P/E's higher than 32x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
With earnings that are retreating more than the market's of late, Orion has been very sluggish. It seems that many are expecting the dismal earnings performance to persist, which has repressed the P/E. You'd much rather the company wasn't bleeding earnings if you still believe in the business. Or at the very least, you'd be hoping the earnings slide doesn't get any worse if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
See our latest analysis for Orion
Does Growth Match The Low P/E?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Orion's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 31%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 38% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 1.9% as estimated by the five analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 15%, which is noticeably more attractive.
In light of this, it's understandable that Orion's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
The Key Takeaway
Orion's recently weak share price has pulled its P/E below most other companies. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that Orion maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Orion that you need to take into consideration.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Orion, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:OEC
Very undervalued with reasonable growth potential.