Stock Analysis

Mosaic's (NYSE:MOS) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's

NYSE:MOS
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The board of The Mosaic Company (NYSE:MOS) has announced that it will be paying its dividend of $0.20 on the 15th of June, an increased payment from last year's comparable dividend. Based on this payment, the dividend yield for the company will be 2.2%, which is fairly typical for the industry.

See our latest analysis for Mosaic

Mosaic's Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage

Solid dividend yields are great, but they only really help us if the payment is sustainable. However, Mosaic's earnings easily cover the dividend. This means that most of its earnings are being retained to grow the business.

EPS is set to fall by 59.5% over the next 12 months. If the dividend continues along the path it has been on recently, we estimate the payout ratio could be 16%, which is comfortable for the company to continue in the future.

historic-dividend
NYSE:MOS Historic Dividend April 5th 2023

Dividend Volatility

Although the company has a long dividend history, it has been cut at least once in the last 10 years. There hasn't been much of a change in the dividend over the last 10 years. The dividend has seen some fluctuations in the past, so even though the dividend was raised this year, we should remember that it has been cut in the past.

The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow

Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. Mosaic has seen EPS rising for the last five years, at 60% per annum. Rapid earnings growth and a low payout ratio suggest this company has been effectively reinvesting in its business. Should that continue, this company could have a bright future.

Mosaic Looks Like A Great Dividend Stock

Overall, a dividend increase is always good, and we think that Mosaic is a strong income stock thanks to its track record and growing earnings. The company is generating plenty of cash, and the earnings also quite easily cover the distributions. We should point out that the earnings are expected to fall over the next 12 months, which won't be a problem if this doesn't become a trend, but could cause some turbulence in the next year. All in all, this checks a lot of the boxes we look for when choosing an income stock.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Mosaic (of which 1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) you should know about. Is Mosaic not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.