There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. So on that note, Warrior Met Coal (NYSE:HCC) looks quite promising in regards to its trends of return on capital.
What is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on Warrior Met Coal is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.029 = US$36m ÷ (US$1.3b - US$134m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2021).
Therefore, Warrior Met Coal has an ROCE of 2.9%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Metals and Mining industry average of 14%.
Check out our latest analysis for Warrior Met Coal
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Warrior Met Coal compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.
What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us
The fact that Warrior Met Coal is now generating some pre-tax profits from its prior investments is very encouraging. Shareholders would no doubt be pleased with this because the business was loss-making five years ago but is is now generating 2.9% on its capital. Not only that, but the company is utilizing 33% more capital than before, but that's to be expected from a company trying to break into profitability. This can indicate that there's plenty of opportunities to invest capital internally and at ever higher rates, both common traits of a multi-bagger.
What We Can Learn From Warrior Met Coal's ROCE
To the delight of most shareholders, Warrior Met Coal has now broken into profitability. Investors may not be impressed by the favorable underlying trends yet because over the last three years the stock has only returned 8.3% to shareholders. Given that, we'd look further into this stock in case it has more traits that could make it multiply in the long term.
One more thing, we've spotted 1 warning sign facing Warrior Met Coal that you might find interesting.
While Warrior Met Coal may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.
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Access Free AnalysisThis article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About NYSE:HCC
Warrior Met Coal
Engages in the production and export of non-thermal steelmaking coal for the steel production by metal manufacturers in Europe, South America, and Asia.
Flawless balance sheet and good value.
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