The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, FMC Corporation (NYSE:FMC) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
Check out our latest analysis for FMC
How Much Debt Does FMC Carry?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2023 FMC had US$4.68b of debt, an increase on US$3.89b, over one year. However, it does have US$941.5m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$3.74b.
How Healthy Is FMC's Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that FMC had liabilities of US$4.35b due within 12 months and liabilities of US$4.22b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$941.5m as well as receivables valued at US$2.78b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$4.85b.
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since FMC has a market capitalization of US$9.41b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
FMC has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 3.0 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 5.3 times. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. Unfortunately, FMC's EBIT flopped 12% over the last four quarters. If that sort of decline is not arrested, then the managing its debt will be harder than selling broccoli flavoured ice-cream for a premium. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine FMC's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. In the last three years, FMC's free cash flow amounted to 29% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.
Our View
We'd go so far as to say FMC's EBIT growth rate was disappointing. Having said that, its ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT isn't such a worry. Looking at the balance sheet and taking into account all these factors, we do believe that debt is making FMC stock a bit risky. Some people like that sort of risk, but we're mindful of the potential pitfalls, so we'd probably prefer it carry less debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example FMC has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is potentially serious) we think you should know about.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:FMC
FMC
An agricultural sciences company, provides crop protection, plant health, and professional pest and turf management products.
Undervalued with solid track record and pays a dividend.